Investing Curiouscatblog

Category: Investing

  • Apple Tops Google

    Today, the market capitalization of Apple exceeded Google for the first time since Google went public. Both Companies are now valued at $185 billion. In 2007 Google had revenue of $16.6 billion and net profit of $4.2 billion. Apple had revenue of $24 billion and net profit of $3.5 billion. Since Google went public on 27 August 2004 their stock price is up 367% and Apple is up 1064% – both pretty good. I own Google and have it as the largest holding in the 12 stocks for 10 years portfolio.

    Related: Buy Google – Stop Picking Stocks – Lazy Portfolio Results – Great Google Earnings

  • Mortgage Costs Rising

    Fannie Mae (the quasi government mortgage giant) is raising fees for mortgages it buys. Banks and mortgage lenders often sell the mortgage to Fannie Mae shortly after completing the loan. Mortgages get more expensive – again

    Fannie increased fees for some loans by a quarter of a percentage point, based on borrowers’ credit scores and the amount of their down payments. It will charge, for example, 1% (up from 0.75%) for a buyer with a credit score of 680 paying 20% down.

    And Fannie doubled its “adverse market delivery charge” to 0.5%. That is an across-the-board fee assessed against every loan Fannie buys, according to a Fannie spokeswoman. Fannie first instituted the charge this spring.
    …
    The added fees will be passed on to borrowers and could mean quarter-point increases in interest rates.
    …
    Fannie will also eliminate buying Alt-A loans by the end of 2008. Alt-A loans, a category between prime and subprime, accounted for about 11% of the company’s loans during the last years of the boom. They have been used mostly by people who couldn’t or wouldn’t document their incomes, their assets or both. These buyers will find it harder to obtain financing once Fannie stops buying the loans.

    According to Yun, however, the cutback in Alt-A will hurt people buying second homes to rent out or resell, rather than first time homeowners. “These are people who often rely on their good credit to buy investment properties putting little or no money down,” he said.

    Related: Mortgage Rates Rising – Fed Funds Rate Changes Don’t Indicate Mortgage Rate Changes – Jumbo and Regular Mortgage Rates By Credit Score – Homes Entering Foreclosure at Record

  • Bankruptcies Among Seniors Soaring

    Bankruptcies among seniors soaring

    The average age for filing bankruptcy has increased and the rate of bankruptcy among those ages 65 and older has more than doubled since 1991, say researchers Teresa Sullivan of the University of Michigan, Deborah Thorne of Ohio University and Elizabeth Warren of Harvard Law School.

    Expensive health care costs from a serious illness before a patient received Medicare and the inability to work during and after a serious illness are the prime contributors to financial crises among those 55 and older. But even among those 75 to 84 and receiving retirement, Social Security and Medicare benefits, the rates soared—from just 1.8 percent of all filers in 1991 to 5 percent in 2007.

    Most Americans have two major assets: their homes and their retirement plans. And borrowing against those assets can present new risks when home values and stock markets decline, Sullivan and colleagues say. In some cases, older Americans trying to help children and grandchildren, borrow too much, putting themselves at risk.

    Related: Boomers Face Retirement – Retirement Tips from TIAA CREF – Saving for Retirement

  • Jumbo v. Regular Fixed Mortgage Rates: by Credit Score

    Example 30 year mortgage rates (from myfico.com – see site for current rate estimates). Previous posts on this topic: Feb 2008 – August 2007 – May 2007. Since the last post both jumbo and conforming mortgages rates are up (and are up most for high credit scores).

    FICO score APR Aug 2008 APR Aug 2008 – jumbo APR Feb 2008 APR Feb 2008 – jumbo APR Aug 2007 APR May 2007
    760-850 6.12% 7.00% 5.53% 6.61% 6.27% 5.86%
    700-759 6.34% 7.22% 5.75% 6.83% 6.49% 6.08%
    660-699 6.62% 7.50% 6.04% 7.12% 6.77% 6.37%
    620-659 7.43% 8.31% 6.85% 7.93% 7.58% 7.18%
    580-619 9.45% 9.63% 9.22% 9.40% 9.32% 8.82%
    500-579 10.31% 10.49% 10.20% 10.37% 10.31% 9.68%

    For scores above 620, the APRs above assume a mortgage with 1.0 points and 80% Loan-to-Value Ratio. For scores below 620, these APRs assume a mortgage with 0 points and 60 to 80% Loan-to-Value Ratio.

    Since February the premium for jumbo loans has decreased to 88 basis points (from 108) for all credit scores above 620 (the combination of higher down payment and higher regular interest rates below 620 result in very little premium from Jumbo loans, under 20 basis points.

    Related: 30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Rate Data – Learning About Mortgages – How Much Worse Can the Mortgage Crisis Get? – Real Free Credit Report (in USA)

  • Spending Guidelines in Retirement

    Retirement planning is a huge financial need and one of the areas where financial literacy can pay off very well. Understanding the incredible power of compound interest can be used to start your retirement savings early and provide you with a huge benefit. Understanding the risks of inflation can guide your investment decisions. The recent Business Week Retirement Guide is very good. In Spending Safely, they explore how to spend while preserving your capital in retirement.

    For more than a decade, financial advisers have warned retirees that draining over 4% of their nest eggs in their inaugural retirement year could ultimately lead to financial ruin.
    …
    Bengen now suggests that the 4% figure – actually 4.1% for a 60/40 portfolio of large caps and bonds and 4.5% if you toss in small caps – merely seems impressive when plugged into Excel (MSFT) spreadsheets. In practice, the strategy, which Bengen stopped using with his own clients about three years ago, is inflexible and unrealistic he says – and the formula is too stingy.
    …
    Flexibility is factored into Bengen’s revised approach, which permits withdrawals to fluctuate within guidelines. His “floor-and-ceiling strategy” suggests that an initial withdrawal rate of 5.16% would be appropriate if a retiree pares back subsequent withdrawals by as much as 10% of the initial withdrawal during hard times (the floor). On the other hand, a retiree could withdraw extra cash equaling up to 25% of the first-year withdrawal (the ceiling) when the market is strong.

    This adjusted thinking is correct I believe. People want simpler answers but some things just require a more complex understanding.

    Related: How Much Retirement Income? – Add to Your Roth IRA – Retirement Tips from TIAA CREF – Our Only Hope: Retiring Later

  • Many Retirees Face Prospect of Outliving Savings

    Many Retirees Face Prospect of Outliving Savings, Study Says

    Nearly three out of five middle-class retirees will probably run out of money if they maintain their pre-retirement lifestyles, a new study from Ernst & Young has concluded.
    …
    Middle-income Americans entering retirement now will have to reduce their standard of living by an average of 24 percent to minimize their chances of outliving their financial assets, the study found. Workers seven years from retirement will have to cut their spending by even more — 37 percent.

    This is one more study pointing out how many people are failing to take the most basic steps to manage their finances. Saving for Retirement is not very complicated. The details can get a bit complex but some of it is really basic like saving at least 5-15% of your earnings each year (or more if you fall behind) in tax differed savings accounts (IRA, 401(k)…). Many people just choose to sacrifice their future to buy more toys today.

    There are different strategies but the minimum you should be doing (in the USA where social security will provide a portion of retirement savings) is saving, in a 401k, IRA or something similar: 5% in your 20s, 8% in 30s, 10% in your 40s, 11% in your 50s, 12% in your 60s. If you save more earlier you may be able to save less later. And if you fall behind you will have to save more. To retire earlier, than say 68 (today, or say 70 by 2020, and if you assume life expectancy rates will continue to increase you need to plan on working longer or saving more for a longer retirement), you should save more.
    (more…)

  • 2nd Largest Bank Failure in USA History

    I commented on, WaMu Free Checking: The High 3.3% APY May Be Worth A Look, yesterday:

    I agree it is worth considering. It has FDIC insurance. But the bank is not very stable. The stock price, for example, was above 40 in the last year. It is below 5 now. But as long as your entire deposit is covered by FDIC you are in safe (though if a bank goes under – not that likely – there can be a delay in getting your money). Normally a bank’s assets would be bought out by another bank.

    And today I read of the second largest bank failure in the history of the USA, IndyMac Bank seized by federal regulators:

    The Office of Thrift Supervision in Washington, the chief regulator of IndyMac, said it transferred control of the $32-billion bank to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Branches will be closed over the weekend, but the FDIC will reopen the bank Monday as IndyMac Federal Bank, the OTS said.

    Regulators said depositors would have no access to banking services online and by telephone this weekend, but could continue to use ATMs, debit cards and checks. Online banking and phone banking services are to resume operations Monday.

    Federal authorities said based on a preliminary analysis, the takeover of IndyMac would cost the FDIC between $4 billion and $8 billion.

    It is important to make sure your deposits are FDIC insured (in the USA), and to know the limits of the coverage.

    FDIC Failed Bank Information Information for IndyMac Bank, F.S.B., Pasadena, CA

    Principal and interest on insured accounts, through July 11, 2008, are fully insured by the FDIC, up to the insurance limit of $100,000. You will receive full payment for your insured account. Certain entitlements and different types of accounts can be insured for more than the $100,000 limit. IRA funds are insured separately from other types of accounts, up to a $250,000 limit.

    IndyMac was a huge mortgage focused bank. Their stock price had fallen from a high of nearly $30 in the last year to below $5 in April, $2 in May and $1 in June. It is a very good thing we have the FDIC.

    Related: Credit Crisis (August 2007) – Credit Crisis Continues – Homes Entering Foreclosure at Record

  • Solar Heats Up Desert Real Estate Market

    The desert boom

    A solar land rush is rolling across the desert Southwest. Goldman Sachs, utilities PG&E and FPL, Silicon Valley startups, Israeli and German solar firms, Chevron, speculators – all are scrambling to lock up hundreds of thousands of acres of long-worthless land now coveted as sites for solar power plants.

    The race has barely begun – finished plants are years away – but it’s blazing fastest in the Mojave, where the federal government controls immense stretches of some of the world’s best solar real estate right next to the nation’s biggest electricity markets. Just 20 months ago only five applications for solar sites had been filed with the BLM in the California Mojave. Today 104 claims have been received for nearly a million acres of land, representing a theoretical 60 gigawatts of electricity. (The entire state of California currently consumes 33 gigawatts annually.)

    Related: Solar Thermal in Desert, to Beat Coal by 2020 – Solar Tower Power Generation – Global Wind Power Installed Capacity – real estate investing articles

  • Save Some of Each Raise

    Failing to save is a huge problem in the USA. Spending money you don’t have (taking on personal debt) and not even having emergency savings and retirement savings lead to failed financial futures. Even though those in the USA today are among the richest people ever to live many still seem to have trouble saving. Here is a simple tip to improve that result for yourself.

    Anytime you get a raise split the raise between savings, paying off debt (if you have any non-mortgage debt), and increasing the amount you have to spend. I think too many people think financial success is much more complicated than it is. Doing simple things like this (and some of the other things, mentioned in this blog) will help most people do much better than they have been doing.

    There are lots of ways to spend money. And many people find ways to spend all or more than all (credit card debt, personal loans…) they have which are sure ways to a failed financial future. So anytime you get a raise (a promotion, new job…) take a portion of that extra money and put it toward your financial future. The proportion can very but I would aim for at least 50% if you have any non-mortgage debt, don’t have a 6 month emergency fund, or are behind in saving for retirement, a house…

    Exactly how you calculate if you are behind, I will address in a future post (or you can look around for more information). By taking this fairly simple action you will be setting yourself up for a successful financial future instead of finding yourself falling behind, as so many do. And then when things go badly, as they most likely will sometime during your life, you will have built up a financial position to draw on. Instead of, as so many do now, find that you were living beyond your means when things were going well – which it doesn’t take a genius to see will lead to serious problems when things take a turn for the worse.

    So lets say you take a new job and get a raise of $4,000 a year. Instead of spending $4,000 more just put $2,000 away (pay off debt, add to your retirement savings, add to savings for a house, add to your emergency fund…). Then you get a promotion of another $3,000, increase your spending by $1,500 and save the rest. It is such a simple idea and just doing this you can find yourself in the top few percent of those making smart financial decisions. And if you get to the point that you are ahead in all your financial areas then you can take more of each raise you get (but most of the time you will have learned how valuable the extra saving are and figured out the extra toys really are not worth it). But if you want to, once you have created a successful financial life, you can choose to buy more toys.

    Related: Retirement Savings Survey Results – Earn more, spend more, want more

  • Where to Keep Your Emergency Funds?

    Poorer Than You posed the question: Where to Stash Your Rainy Day Fund?

    One of the most popular places for emergency funds right now, online savings accounts offer the sweet spot of liquidity and interest rate. The funds can be transferred to your checking account within 1-3 days. Recommended account: ING Direct’s Orange Savings.

    Pros: Interest rate usually meets or beats inflation, transfers to checking account, separation from checking decreases temptation to spend, no minimum balance requirement

    Cons: Slow transfers may hinder urgent emergencies, limited by federal law to 6 transfers out of the account per month
    …
    Personally, I’m using a credit card/online savings account combination right now. After I graduate from college and grow my emergency fund, I’ll move most of the fund to a money market savings account, and perhaps keep a couple hundred dollars in cash as well.

    Here are my thoughts:

    A money market fund is where I used to hold emergency funds, but things have changed. Money market funds are paying less than inflation (especially true inflation – which exceeds reported inflation). Right now high yield savings is where I have my emergency funds. You need to not only pick a good choice but pay attention to see if the marketplace shifts and certain options are not as appealing as before.

    I would use a credit card for immediate spending needs and then paying the balance in full with funds from high yield savings. But right now high yield savings accounts pay more than money market funds, so just stay with high yield savings. If money market funds pay more in the future then I would put the emergency funds there.

    Related: Personal Finance Basics: Health Insurance – personal finance tips