Investing Curiouscatblog

Category: quote

  • Medieval Peasants had More Vacation Time

    There are ways to get more vacation time

    De Graff, national coordinator of Take Back Your Time Day, based his figures on the number of religious holidays peasants took off to eat, drink and spend time with their families, and found it was about two weeks extra.
    …
    According to Robinson, mentioning to your boss that you are willing to go on vacation without any pay can often be a very effective way to get some time off.
    …
    Take what you get: It may seem obvious, but many people don’t check how much time they are entitled to take off. Many others are reluctant to take the average nine days of paid vacation to which they are entitled, often because they are afraid it will show weakness or lack of loyalty.

    Joe Robinson said there may be “ongoing subtle discouragement” in the work force, but employees should remember that they are entitled to their vacation and should not be afraid to take it. In 2005, U.S. workers collectively turned down a staggering 1.6 million years of vacation time that was offered to them.

    I find these discussions of how little time off we have interesting. Similar studies look further back, at hunter gathers and find similar patterns. Still they are a bit misleading. What about total hours worked during the year (for peasants). What about the conditions of work and life. What about life expectancy… Still I agree with the thought that more vacation is more important than more work to fund more spending. I would rather reduce my spending and have more free time. I have taken unpaid vacation myself, and have worked part time, at times, to buy myself more freedom to spend my time as I wished.

    Related: Vacation: Systems Thinking – Workplace Experiments

  • Spending Guidelines in Retirement

    Retirement planning is a huge financial need and one of the areas where financial literacy can pay off very well. Understanding the incredible power of compound interest can be used to start your retirement savings early and provide you with a huge benefit. Understanding the risks of inflation can guide your investment decisions. The recent Business Week Retirement Guide is very good. In Spending Safely, they explore how to spend while preserving your capital in retirement.

    For more than a decade, financial advisers have warned retirees that draining over 4% of their nest eggs in their inaugural retirement year could ultimately lead to financial ruin.
    …
    Bengen now suggests that the 4% figure – actually 4.1% for a 60/40 portfolio of large caps and bonds and 4.5% if you toss in small caps – merely seems impressive when plugged into Excel (MSFT) spreadsheets. In practice, the strategy, which Bengen stopped using with his own clients about three years ago, is inflexible and unrealistic he says – and the formula is too stingy.
    …
    Flexibility is factored into Bengen’s revised approach, which permits withdrawals to fluctuate within guidelines. His “floor-and-ceiling strategy” suggests that an initial withdrawal rate of 5.16% would be appropriate if a retiree pares back subsequent withdrawals by as much as 10% of the initial withdrawal during hard times (the floor). On the other hand, a retiree could withdraw extra cash equaling up to 25% of the first-year withdrawal (the ceiling) when the market is strong.

    This adjusted thinking is correct I believe. People want simpler answers but some things just require a more complex understanding.

    Related: How Much Retirement Income? – Add to Your Roth IRA – Retirement Tips from TIAA CREF – Our Only Hope: Retiring Later

  • Are You Financially Literate?

    Are You Financially Literate? Do this Simple Test to Find Out by Annamaria Lusardi.

    1) Suppose you had $100 in a savings account and the interest rate was 2% per year. After 5 years, how much do you think you would have in the account if you left the money to grow?
    a) More than $102
    b) Exactly $102
    c) Less than $102
    d) Do not know

    2) Imagine that the interest rate on your savings account was 1% per year and inflation was 2% per year. After 1 year, would you be able to buy more than, exactly the same as, or less than today with the money in this account?
    a) More than today
    b) Exactly the same as today
    c) Less than today
    d) Do not know

    3) Do you think that the following statement is true or false? “Buying a single company stock usually provides a safer return than a stock mutual fund.”
    a) True
    b) False
    c) Do not know
    …
    To be “financially literate” you need to answer correctly to all three questions.

    And I would add, just answering those 3 simple questions does not mean you are. But if you don’t answer all 3 correctly you are not financially literate. We provide several resources to help people improve their literacy, including: our blog posts on financial literacy, Curious Cat Investing Dictionary and Curious Cat Investing Books.

    Related: Questions You Should Ask About Your Investments – Annual Percentage Rate (APR) – Ignorance of Many Mortgage Holders
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  • Copywrong

    In response to: Fair Use Rights by David Bradley

    Copyright is a taking of a public benefit for a private entity. This was put into law in order to increase the total public benefit. The idea was that taking from the public to provide the creator a limited-term, exclusive, government-granted, right to their work would encourage individuals to invest their time in creating works that would benefit society.

    So the debate is properly about how great the taking from the public should be. It seem to me the current situation is completely corrupt. Many of the actions are taking public benefit to provide to the private entity where no possible public benefit exists. Extending copyright periods of long ago created works, where obviously the public is harmed purely for private benefit. No possible argument can be made that their is a payoff to the public for this taking.

    If you wanted to take such an action and made it only for new work then their could be an argument that now a creator knows they have 100 years of government provided rights and therefore investing more time and effort in their work creates new and better work. I don’t believe this argument but at least it is possible. The current actions though are mainly about large companies using government to take from the public to provide themselves private benefit with no corresponding public benefit.

    Lawrence Lessig is the person who has the best insight in this area, in my opinion: The Value of the Public Domain.

    Dr. Deming published his seven deadly diseases of western management a couple decades ago. I would add 2 new diseases: Excessive executive compensation and a broken intellectual property system.

    Fair use is the right to reference (and quote limited portions of) works that have been granted government copyright protection. This is integral to the whole idea of creating the greatest public benefit (even while providing some government imposed limits on public rights to the creator). The large companies now are using lawyers to greatly increase the harm to society by expanding the taking of public benefit. They threaten and scare many into paying fees (or completely avoiding works that have been granted limited government granted copyright rights) where none are are rightly due (see Lawrence Lessig for examples). This causes great harm to society for the private benefit of a few. This is an obvious failure of government. Those countries that are successful at adopting more sensible systems are going to have a great advantage over those countries that chose to continue to increasingly bad practices of harming society to benefit a few private interests.

    Related: What is Wrong with Copyright Taking Public Good for Private Special Interests – Innovation and Creative Commons – Diplomacy and Science Research – More Government Waste – Crazy Watchmen – General Air Travel Taxes Subsidizing Private Plane Airports – China and the Sugar Industry Tax Consumers

  • Save Some of Each Raise

    Failing to save is a huge problem in the USA. Spending money you don’t have (taking on personal debt) and not even having emergency savings and retirement savings lead to failed financial futures. Even though those in the USA today are among the richest people ever to live many still seem to have trouble saving. Here is a simple tip to improve that result for yourself.

    Anytime you get a raise split the raise between savings, paying off debt (if you have any non-mortgage debt), and increasing the amount you have to spend. I think too many people think financial success is much more complicated than it is. Doing simple things like this (and some of the other things, mentioned in this blog) will help most people do much better than they have been doing.

    There are lots of ways to spend money. And many people find ways to spend all or more than all (credit card debt, personal loans…) they have which are sure ways to a failed financial future. So anytime you get a raise (a promotion, new job…) take a portion of that extra money and put it toward your financial future. The proportion can very but I would aim for at least 50% if you have any non-mortgage debt, don’t have a 6 month emergency fund, or are behind in saving for retirement, a house…

    Exactly how you calculate if you are behind, I will address in a future post (or you can look around for more information). By taking this fairly simple action you will be setting yourself up for a successful financial future instead of finding yourself falling behind, as so many do. And then when things go badly, as they most likely will sometime during your life, you will have built up a financial position to draw on. Instead of, as so many do now, find that you were living beyond your means when things were going well – which it doesn’t take a genius to see will lead to serious problems when things take a turn for the worse.

    So lets say you take a new job and get a raise of $4,000 a year. Instead of spending $4,000 more just put $2,000 away (pay off debt, add to your retirement savings, add to savings for a house, add to your emergency fund…). Then you get a promotion of another $3,000, increase your spending by $1,500 and save the rest. It is such a simple idea and just doing this you can find yourself in the top few percent of those making smart financial decisions. And if you get to the point that you are ahead in all your financial areas then you can take more of each raise you get (but most of the time you will have learned how valuable the extra saving are and figured out the extra toys really are not worth it). But if you want to, once you have created a successful financial life, you can choose to buy more toys.

    Related: Retirement Savings Survey Results – Earn more, spend more, want more

  • How to Protect Your Financial Health

    There are external risks to your financial health. Many people ruin their financial health even before any external risk can, but lets say you are being responsible then what risks should you seek to protect yourself from?

    Risk Strategy Also
    medical costs health insurance emergency fund, healthy lifestyle to reduce the likelihood of needing medical care
    property losses (house damaged, car stolen, property damage…) homeowners insurance, rental insurance
    job loss emergency fund, unemployment insurance (provided by the government and paid for by the company in most cases – in the USA) updating skills, maintain a career network, education, learning new skills
    disability (which both damages your earning potential and often has medical care costs) disability insurance, health insurance social security disability insurance – in the USA
    investment losses sound investment portfolio and strategy (diversification, appropriate investments, adjusting investment strategy over time) extra savings
    having to pay damages caused to others homeowners insurance often includes personal liability coverage (and car insurance often includes some coverage for damage you cause while driving). check and likely choose to pay for extra liability insurance – costs to add coverage is normally cheap.
    unexpected expenses emergency fund extra savings
    loss of income of someone you rely on (spouse) life insurance extra savings

    Another protection is to be financially literate. You can risk your financial health by being fooled in spending money you should save, borrowing too much for your house, failing to buy the right insurance, using too much leverage, investing too much in high risk investments…

    Related: credit card tips – personal finance tips – personal loan information

  • Oil Consumption by Country

    The largest oil consuming countries (and EU), in millions of barrels per day:

    Country consumption % of oil used % of population % of World GDP
    USA 20.8 25.9 4.5 21.0
    European Union 14.6 18.1 7.4 21.9
    China 6.9 8.6 19.9 10.7
    Japan 5.4 6.7 1.9 6.5
    Russia 2.9 3.6 2.1 3.2
    Germany 2.6 3.3 1.2 4.3
    India 2.4 3.0 17.0 4.6
    Canada 2.3 2.9 0.5 1.9
    Korea 2.1 2.7 0.7 1.8
    Brazil 2.1 2.6 2.9 2.8
    Mexico 2.1 2.6 1.6 2.1

    All data is from CIA World Factbook 2008 (downloaded Jun 2008). GDP calculated using purchasing power parity.

    Related: Top 10 Manufacturing Countries 2006 – Country H-index Rank for Science Publications – Best Research University Rankings (2007)

  • Where to Keep Your Emergency Funds?

    Poorer Than You posed the question: Where to Stash Your Rainy Day Fund?

    One of the most popular places for emergency funds right now, online savings accounts offer the sweet spot of liquidity and interest rate. The funds can be transferred to your checking account within 1-3 days. Recommended account: ING Direct’s Orange Savings.

    Pros: Interest rate usually meets or beats inflation, transfers to checking account, separation from checking decreases temptation to spend, no minimum balance requirement

    Cons: Slow transfers may hinder urgent emergencies, limited by federal law to 6 transfers out of the account per month
    …
    Personally, I’m using a credit card/online savings account combination right now. After I graduate from college and grow my emergency fund, I’ll move most of the fund to a money market savings account, and perhaps keep a couple hundred dollars in cash as well.

    Here are my thoughts:

    A money market fund is where I used to hold emergency funds, but things have changed. Money market funds are paying less than inflation (especially true inflation – which exceeds reported inflation). Right now high yield savings is where I have my emergency funds. You need to not only pick a good choice but pay attention to see if the marketplace shifts and certain options are not as appealing as before.

    I would use a credit card for immediate spending needs and then paying the balance in full with funds from high yield savings. But right now high yield savings accounts pay more than money market funds, so just stay with high yield savings. If money market funds pay more in the future then I would put the emergency funds there.

    Related: Personal Finance Basics: Health Insurance – personal finance tips

  • Foreclosure Filings Continue to Rise

    Foreclosure Filings Continue to Rise

    Foreclosure filings last month were up nearly 50 percent compared with a year earlier, according to one company’s count released yesterday. Nationwide, 261,255 homeowners received at least one foreclosure-related filing in May, up 48 percent from the same month last year, and up 7 percent from April, foreclosure listing service RealtyTrac said.
    …
    last week the Mortgage Bankers Association reported that about 2.47 percent of home mortgages were in foreclosure during the first quarter of the year, almost double the 1.28 percent rate of a year earlier, and the highest point since the group began compiling such figures in 1979. A Credit Suisse report this spring predicted that 6.5 million loans will fall into foreclosure over the next five years, reaching more than 8 percent of all U.S. homes.

    There numbers really are astounding. How lame were the decisions of banks and mortgagees that nearly 1 in 40 mortgages are in default (and that number likely increasing in the next year to much more?

    Related: Homes Entering Foreclosure at Record (Sep 2007) – Homes Entering Foreclosure at Record – Ignorance of Many Mortgage Holders

  • Fed Funds Rate Changes Don’t Indicate Mortgage Rate Changes

    The recent drastic reductions again emphasize (once again) that changes in the federal funds rate are not correlated with changes in the 30 year fixed mortgage rate. In the last 4 months the discount rate has been reduced nearly 200 basis points, while 30 year fixed mortgage rates have fallen 18 basis points.

    I have update my article showing the historical comparison of 30 year fixed mortgage rates and the federal funds rate. The chart shows the federal funds rate and the 30 year fixed rate mortgage rate from January 2000 through April 2008 (for more details see the article).

    30 year fixed mortgage rates and the federal funds rate 200-2007

    There is not a significant correlation between moves in federal funds rate and 30 year mortgage rates that can be used for those looking to determine short term (over a few days, weeks or months) moves in the 30 year fixed mortgage rates. For example if 30 year rates are at 6% and the federal reserve drops the federal funds rate 50 basis points that tells you little about what the 30 year rate will do. No matter how often those that should know better repeat the belief that there is such a correlation you can look at the actual data in the graph above to see that it is not the case.

    Related: real estate articles – Affect of Fed Funds Rates Changes on Mortgage Rates – How Not to Convert Equity – more posts on financial literacy
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