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  • Dow Jones Industrial Average Changes

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a widely followed stock market measure of 30 stocks. I think the S&P 500 is a better measure to pay attention to, but the DJIA continues to be used and it has some historical interest. Today 2 stocks (Altria and Honeywell) were removed and two new stocks we added (Bank of America and Chevron). They were the two largest cap USA based companies (other than Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett’s company) not in the DJIA. Bank of America has a market capitalization of $186 billion and Chevron’s is $165 billion. Google’s market cap is $160 billion.

    I mentioned before I would replace GM with Toyota (though that might violate one of their traditions). I also would have added Google, with this update, rather than Bank of America (Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, American Express and AIG are all financial industry companies and GE has huge financing components also).

    The current DJIA stocks:

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    Stock Market Capitalization Year Added
    Exxon (XOM)             $438 Billion     1928
    GE 337     1896
    Microsoft 260     1999
    AT&T (T) 217     1999
    Proctor & Gamble (PG) 200     1932
    Walmart (WMT) 195     1997
    Bank of America (BAC) 186     2007
    Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) 178     1997
    Chevron (CVX) 165     2007
    Pfizer (PFE) 150     2004
    JPMorgan Chase (JPM) 145     1991
    IBM 145     1979

  • Couples Finances

    My friend, Sean Stickle and his wife, Jill Foster, were featured in a Washington Post article today on finances of couples: I Do, but You Don’t:

    “She is the financial manager of the family, and to the extent that we are financially secure, it is all her doing. I contribute mostly by not screwing it up,” he said.
    …
    In January 2006, they had an epiphany. Despite having declared saving for retirement as their priority, they spent $11,000 on restaurant meals the previous year. “We were living a contradiction,” Foster said. Foster became even more of a strict financial manager. She started using Quicken to keep track of all their expenditures. She made sure 12 percent of their income went toward retirement. She cut their restaurant budget to $1,500 a year.

    Related: I Want My Coffee – Backyard Wildlife-Raptor – Retirement Savings Survey Results – Get Your Own Science Art – Malcolm Gladwell and Synchronicity

  • International Health Care System Performance

    Data from the Commonwealth fund report, Toward Higher-Performance Health Systems: Adults’ Health Care Experiences in Seven Countries, 2007:

    Australia Canada Germany Netherlands New Zealand UK USA
    National health spending – Percent of GDP 9.5% 9.8% 10.7% 9.2% 9.0% 8.3% 16.0%
    Percent uninsured 0 0 <1 <2 0 0 16
    Last time you were sick or needed care, how quickly could you get an appointment to see a doctor?
        Same day 42 22 55 49 53 41 30
        Next day 20 14 10 21 22 17 19
        2-5 days 26 26 10 17 17 26 25
        6 or more days 10 30 20 5 4 12 20
    Overall health system views
        Only minor changes needed, system works well 24 26 20 42 26 26 16
        Fundamental changes needed 55 60 51 49 56 57 48
        Rebuild completely 18 12 28 9 17 15 34

    Related: Measuring the Health of Nations – USA Paying More for Health Care – Traveling for Health Care – resources for improvement health system performance

  • Starting Retirement Account Allocations for Someone Under 40

    One of the most important financial moves you can make is to start investing for your retirement early. This post is directed at those in the USA (but you can adjust the ideas for your particular situation). Retirement accounts with tax free growth, tax deferred growth and/or even tax deductible contributions can add to the benefits of such an investment. And matching by your company can give you an immediate return or 100% or 50% or some other amount. With 100% matching if you invest $2,000 your company adds $2,000 to your retirement account. For 50% they would add $1,000 in the event you added $2,000.

    In other posts I will cover some of the other details involved but some people can be confused just by what investment options to chose. Normally you will have a limited choice of mutual funds. Hopefully you will have a good family of funds to choose from such as Vanguard, TIAA-CREF, American, Franklin-Templeton, T.Rowe Price etc.). If so, the most important thing is really just to get started adding money. The details of how you allocate the investment is secondary to that.

    So once you have made the decision to save for your retirement what allocation makes sense? Well diversification is a valuable strategy. Some options you will likely have include S&P 500 index fund, Russel 5000 (total market index – or some such), small cap growth, international stocks, money market fund, bond fund and perhaps international bonds, short term bonds, specialty funds (health care, natural resources) long term bonds, real estate trusts…

    Just to get a simple idea of what might make sense when you are starting out and under 40 and don’t have other substantial assets in any of these areas (large mutual fund holdings, your own house, investment real estate…) this is an allocation I think is reasonable (but don’t take my word for it go read what other say and then make your own decisions):

    25% Total stock market index (~Wilshire 5000)
    25% international stocks
    20% small cap stocks
    10% real estate
    10% high quality short term bonds in a Euros, Yen…
    10% short term bonds (or money market)
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  • Rodgers on the US and Chinese Economies

    Jimmy Rodgers is one of the most successful investors ever. He and George Soros were partners during the amazing run with Quantum Fund (up over 4000% in 10 years) and he has been successful since. This interview provides his current thoughts – ‘It’s going to be much worse’

    “Conceivably we could have just had recession, hard times, sliding dollar, inflation, etc., but I’m afraid it’s going to be much worse,” he says. “Bernanke is printing huge amounts of money. He’s out of control and the Fed is out of control. We are probably going to have one of the worst recessions we’ve had since the Second World War. It’s not a good scene.”

    Rogers looks at the Fed’s willingness to add liquidity to an already inflationary environment and sees the history of the 1970s repeating itself. Does that mean stagflation? “It is a real danger and, in fact, a probability.”

    One smart investor, no matter how smart, will have many wrong guesses about the future. Still he is someone worth listening to.

    Related: Investment Biker – Charge It to My Kids – Buffett’s 2007 Letter to Shareholders

  • You Don’t Need an Extended Warranty

    Why you don’t need an extended warranty, Consumer Reports:

    Retailers are pushing hard to get you to buy extended warranties, or service plans, because they’re cash cows. Stores keep 50 percent or more of what they charge for warranties. That’s much more than they can make selling actual products. For the consumer, extended warranties are notoriously bad deals because:

    – Some repairs are covered by the standard manufacturer warranty that comes with the product
    – Products seldom break within the extended-warranty window–after the standard warranty has expired but within the typical two to three years of purchase–our data show.
    – When electronics and appliances do break, the repairs, on average, cost about the same as an extended warranty.

    Related: Save Money on AV Cables – Shop Around for Drugs – Real Free Credit Report

  • 12 Stocks for 10 Years Update – Feb 2008

    I originally setup the 10 stocks for 10 years portfolio in April of 2005. With Microsoft’s move to buy Yahoo I have sold Yahoo and replaced it with Danaher, a stock I have been considering for this portfolio from the start. I have also sold some Templeton Dragon Fund since the last update, as I indicated I would. Unfortunately, Petro China just missed reaching the price I had set to sell a portion of the position before falling dramatically (the gain at the last update was 298% now it is “only” 132%).

    The performance since the last update has not been good but that isn’t much of a concern to me. The long term prospects remain very good for this portfolio, I believe. At this time the stocks in the sleep well portfolio in order of returns –

    Stock Current Return % of sleep well portfolio now % of the portfolio if I were buying today
    Google – GOOG 137% 16% 14%
    PetroChina – PTR 132% 8% 8%
    Amazon – AMZN 106% 7% 6%
    Templeton Dragon Fund – TDF 85% 10% 10%
    Toyota – TM 44% 10% 10%
    Templeton Emerging Market Fund – EMF 39% 3.5% 4%
    Cisco – CSCO 32% 6.5% 8%
    Tesco – TSCDY 9% 0% 10%
    Danaher – DHR -4% 4.5% 8%
    Intel – INTC -4% 4% 6%
    Pfizer – PFE -11% 6% 8%
    Dell -40% 6% 6%

    The Yahoo position was closed at an 11% loss. It was the second of the original 10 stocks to be effectively removed due to changes in ownership. At this point I am most positive on Google, Petro China, Toyota, Templeton Dragon Fund and Tesco. I am wary of Dell – they seem to be moving in the wrong direction, but I am willing to give them longer to improve.
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  • Why Americans Are Going Broke

    Why Americans Are Going Broke

    The average household owes 20 percent more than it makes each year. The personal savings rate is in negative territory. Record numbers of Americans are losing their homes to foreclosure, and millions more are struggling to keep up with their monthly bills and obligations. And the nation’s economy isn’t in much better shape. The Treasury Department has estimated that, with the added costs of the economic stimulus plan passed by the House of Representatives this week in an effort to avoid a recession, the federal deficit could rise to as much as $400 billion this year.

    I would say why Americans are going broke is pretty simple: they buy loads of stuff they can’t afford and don’t need. And the political leaders promote this get another credit card mentality of “budgeting”. This stuff is not that tricky. Don’t borrow what you can’t afford. Save money. Don’t buy frivolous stuff that you can’t afford and don’t really provide you value.

    Related: USA Federal Debt Now $516,348 Per Household – Saving for Retirement – Financial Illiteracy Credit Trap – Earn more, spend more, want more

  • Discount NYC Hotels

    NYC hotels at a price that’s right

    New York City hotels charge nearly $300 a night on average. But with some persistence, it’s possible to book a far more affordable place that’s central, comfortable, and — sometimes — even charming. Be sure to plan well in advance.

    Chelsea Lodge from $119, Pod Hotel from $89, Abingdon Guest House from $179.
    New York City Hotels and Hostels – Curious Cat lodging connections – Curious Cat NYC photos

  • Carnival of Personal Finance #137

    Carnival of Personal Finance #137 includes our post: Your Home as an Investment. Some great links in the carnival:

    how much should you save for retirement? – “Assuming 8% growth annually, I’ll need to contribute about 20% of my current salary every year.” (a bit high I think…)

    How to “only” yourself to death – “Some quick Excel work tells me that by cutting out and cutting back we dropped our ‘only-ies’ from $316 per month to $191 per month (and a lot of that is cell phone). That’s a 39% monthly savings or $1,500 a year back in our pocket.”

    10 Tips for First time Apartment Renters – “you should be paying 1/3 of your gross income, so if you make $5,000 per month before taxes, your rent should not be more than $1,666”

    Related: saving for retirement