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  • Capital Crescent Trail Photos – Washington DC

    I have posted some photos from my walk last year on the Capital Crescent Trail in Washington DC.

    3 Vultures on the Potomac River photo of Blue Flower

    The Capital Crescent Trail goes along the Potomac River in Washington DC (on the C&O towpath). I hiked first along the Arlington, Virginia side of the Potomac (starting at the north end of the Teddy Roosevelt Island Parking lot) then crossing over at Chain Bridge and heading back down the Capital Crescent trail and over the Key Bridge to and making a loop hike out of it.

    More photos: Shaker Village of Pleasant Hill, Kentucky – Paris, France – Glacier National Park – The Cloisters Museum and the Museum of Modern Art – Great Falls National Park

  • Freezing Mortgage Rates

    “If you owe the bank $100 that’s your problem. If you owe the bank $100 million, that’s the bank’s problem.” J. Paul Getty

    Individual mortgage holders are in the first situation; together they are in the second.

    I want to look into this whole situation of freezing some adjustable rates (that are scheduled to increase for adjustable rate mortgages) more – because I don’t really understand what is actually involved in the “agreement.” But my impression is that the government is paying nothing, giving no other incentives (like reducing taxes owed). With that being the case I can’t see why some people think it is bad. some people are saying it is unfair to people that were careful They don’t get this benefit. That makes little sense to me. One of the things you have to learn about investing and personal finance is there are no guaranties. You enter into mortgages with your best guess about what will happen (as the lender or the one receiving the loan).

    From my very surface understanding of what is involved is that the government used some moral suasion to try and get lenders to step up and provide more favorable terms than originally agreed to. I not that confident such a think we end up happening in practice but I don’t have a problem with the attempt. It is an interesting case where no single mortgage holder owes enough to harm the lenders but together the class does hold enough to harm them. So the lenders have gotten themselves into a situation where the problem is not just one for the mortgage holders but one that could harm them (because they have too much lent to the class – risky residential mortgages).

    The risk of a cascading bad impact. One waive of foreclosures triggers another and another… Thus creating huge losses for lenders. For that reason it makes sense to me that if (which is a huge if) they class of lenders can all agree to sacrifice some to avoid starting the runaway cascade of foreclosures they may benefit. Of course each individual lender would likely benefit if just everyone but them sacrificed.

    It seems to me if there really is some significant amount of freezing of loan rates that will have a significant impact on how much harm the foreclosures do to real estate prices and the economy. And so I can see how such an agreement could benefit everyone. But as I say I really need to read more about all this. And I am skeptical that individual lenders will try to limit there sacrifices and as each cuts back there sacrifice the risk of the cascade increases.

    An actually bailout – government money paying off those that took bad financial risks I would be very reluctant to support.

    Related: How Not to Convert Equity – Housing Inventory Glut – mortgage terms explained – 30 year fixed Mortgage Rates – Homes Entering Foreclosure at Record – Ignorance of Many Mortgage Holders – Beginning of the End of Housing Bubble? (April 2004)
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  • Add to Your Roth IRA

    If you haven’t added money to your Roth Individual Retirement Account for this year yet – go ahead and do so now. Given the state of retirement planning for the vast majority of those in the USA there is a good chance your retirement is the area of your financial life that will most benefit from more resources. The other action that is likely worthwhile is to cut your spending but we will leave that for other posts.

    If your employer offers matching on your 401(k) or 403(b) that may well be an even higher priority. There is almost never a decent reason not to add at least 5% of your income to a retirement account matched by your employer. Make sure, as the amount grows above $100,000 that it is invested in a diversified manor (not all in the stock of your employer or…).

    For 2007 the most you can add to your Roth IRA or just IRA is $4,000 ($5,000 for those 50 years old or older). Next year that maximum increases to $5,000 ($6,000 for those 50 and up). If you have already added the maximum that is matched to your 401k and have added the maximum to your IRA for this year get ready to add the $5,000 to your IRA for 2008 in January (you do have to make sure you don’t earn too much to be eligible to add funds – pretty much you have to be over $100,000 in income, $150,000 on a joint return, before you have to worry but look up the details yourself). By adding the money to your IRA early in the year you will get another year or tax free growth (for the Roth or tax deferred growth from the regular IRA).

    For more details on the rules on IRAs see the links we provide on the Curious Cat Investment Dictionary IRA page.

    Related: Saving for Retirement – Roth IRAs a Smart bet for Younger Set – Our Only Hope: Retiring Later

  • Legislation to Address the Worst Credit Card Fee Abuse – Maybe

    Shining a Light on Card Fees

    Senior Democrats on Capitol Hill want to ban excessive credit card fees. Bank regulators are on the verge of forcing companies to give more notice before raising interest rates. And New York’s attorney general, whose investigations transformed the student loan industry, now has his eye on conflicts of interest in the credit card sector.

    After years of complaints about abusive practices that trap borrowers in an endless debt cycle, federal and state officials are shining light on the most controversial practices and preparing changes that would make card companies’ policies more consumer-friendly. The fight between consumer advocates and the banks that issue credit cards has been simmering for decades.

    I used to be surprised how badly the banks would treat customers and how little the government would do to prohibit abuse by banks and the like (those companies that pay the politicians huge amounts of money). However, I have seen how bad things have to get before the payoffs can’t prevent massive abuses from at least getting a decent hearing. But I also have learned you shouldn’t believe sensible legislation will pass if it, in any way, could be negative toward those paying large sums to politicians. It can happen but money the influence of payments is huge (which is pretty obvious and not at all surprising to anyone). Without factoring in huge payments it is hard to understand what is going on in Washington. If instead you look at who paid politicians and then see how they vote it is pretty clear why such abuse is allowed to continue for years.

    Related: Credit Card Tips – Hidden Credit Card Fees – Poor Customer Service from Discover Card – Lobbyist Assure Future Taxpayers Will Pay Taxes Private Equity Deals Avoid

  • Smaller Companies Grab Bigger Share of Surging USA Exports

    Smaller Companies Grab Bigger Share of Surging U.S. Exports

    American businesses without international subsidiaries accounted for 46 percent of sales abroad in 2005, up from 38 percent in 1999, according to a Commerce Department analysis published last week.
    …
    Lower tariffs as a result of free-trade agreements have also helped. Since the North American Free Trade Agreement with Canada and Mexico in 1993, the U.S. has entered into accords with Chile and Central America. Treaties with Peru, Colombia, Panama and South Korea are currently awaiting congressional approval. “The free-trade agreements are really an important element for the smaller companies because tariffs and non-tariff barriers pose less difficulties for large multinationals,” the U.S. Chamber’s Murphy said. “For smaller enterprises, the tariffs can be a deal-breaker.”
    …
    A European customer eyeing an American product priced at $100, would now need to come up with only about 68 euros to make the purchase, compared with 99 euros five years ago.
    …
    That may be one reason spending by factories on new equipment rose for a fourth straight year in 2006, according to the Commerce Department’s Annual Survey of Manufacturers. The last time that occurred was from 1994 to 1998.

    Interesting article. Once again I repeat my message that the end of manufacturing in the USA is greatly overstated. While surging exports are good for the economy the massive current account deficit needs to shrink a great deal before the USA can be said to have stopped living far beyond its means.

    Related: Manufacturing Jobs Data (USA, China, Europe, Asia…) – USA Manufacturing Plant Construction – Manufacturing and the Economy

  • Goldman Sachs Rakes In Profit in Credit Crisis

    Goldman Sachs Rakes In Profit in Credit Crisis

    Rarely on Wall Street, where money travels in herds, has one firm gotten it so right when nearly everyone else was getting it so wrong. So far, three banking chief executives have been forced to resign after the debacle, and the pay for nearly all the survivors is expected to be cut deeply.

    But for Goldman’s chief executive, Lloyd C. Blankfein, this is turning out to be a very good year. He will surely earn more than the $54.3 million he made last year. If he gets a 20 percent raise – in line with the growth of Goldman’s compensation pool – he will take home at least $65 million. Some expect his pay, which is directly tied to the firm’s performance, to climb as high as $75 million.
    …
    This contrast in performance has been hard for competitors to swallow. The bank that seems to have a hand in so many deals and products and regions made more money in the boom and, at least so far, has managed to keep making money through the bust. In turn, Goldman’s stock has significantly outperformed its peers. At the end of last week it was up about 13 percent for the year, compared with a drop of almost 14 percent for the XBD, the broker-dealer index that includes the leading Wall Street banks. Merrill Lynch, Bear Stearns and Citigroup are down almost 40 percent this year.

    Interesting story with at least a couple of good points to remember. First it does make a difference what company you chose. There are many market conditions where anyone can make money, but those conditions will change. Also look at the type of pay these people get. The CEO’s take huge risks to possibly get even more obscenely paid. It is absolutely no surprise to me the companies write off hundreds of millions in losses. It happens constantly. Executives are paid ludicrous salaries. In order to try and justify them they take huge risks. When the gambles pay off they pocket even huger bonuses. When they fail they pocket huge severance packages. Who wouldn’t bet the future of the company for that kind of money. Some people wouldn’t but not many that fight there way to the top of the corporate world. Right now it is banks writing off hundreds of millions but just watch every year companies do it. It is not some isolated rare event – it is predictable, common happening.

    And third the financal markets are much riskier than people think. Combine that with leverage and you get huge swings – huge profits and huge losses. I suppose some company may be able to guess just write about when to leverage and make the changes at just the right time – but I doubt it. A few great investors might be able too much of the time.

  • MIT Launches Initiatives in Innovation and India

    MIT launches initiatives in innovation and India

    MIT has launched a group that will act as a liaison between MIT researchers and venture capitalists around the world. The International Innovation Initiative (I³), which MIT president Susan Hockfield announced at a conference in New Delhi, India, will be modeled on the school’s Deshpande Center for Technological Innovation

    Since 2002, The Deshpande Center has funded 64 projects with over $7 M in grants. 11 projects have spun out of the center into commercial ventures, having collectively raised over $88 M in outside financing. Twelve venture capital firms have invested in these ventures. The Center supports a wide range of emerging technologies including biotechnology, biomedical devices, information technology, new materials, tiny tech, and energy innovations.

    Related: India related posts from our management blog – Educating Engineering Geeks – What Kids can Learn – The Future is Engineering

  • Frontline Explores Kiva in Uganda

    Frontline World traveled to Uganda to explore the impact of microfinance and provide some great details on how Kiva is bringing economic opportunity to entrepreneurs. The site includes details and a nice webcast. It is great to see how people can connect directly using Kiva. And it is great to see how people can take small loans and some effort and financial literacy to make a living for themselves. The effort of these entrepreneurs to manage their finances would benefit many people in the rich world plan for retirement…

    As I have mentioned before, if you loan through Kiva send me a link to your Kiva page and I can add it to the Curious Cat Kivans page.

    Related: Make the World Better Using Capitalism – Helping People Help Themselves – Make the World Better – How Rich are You

  • Washington Waste

    Weed It and Reap

    For starters, the Old Guard on both agriculture committees has managed to preserve the entire hoary contraption of direct payments, countercyclical payments and loan deficiency payments that subsidize the five big commodity crops — corn, wheat, rice, soybeans and cotton — to the tune of $42 billion over five years.
    …
    When you consider that farm income is at record levels (thanks to the ethanol boom, itself fueled by another set of federal subsidies); that the World Trade Organization has ruled that several of these subsidies are illegal; that the federal government is broke and the president is threatening a veto, bringing forth a $288 billion farm bill that guarantees billions in payments to commodity farmers seems impressively defiant.
    …
    And the government would not need to pay feedlots to clean up the water or upgrade their manure pits if subsidized grain didn’t make rearing animals on feedlots more economical than keeping them on farms. Why does the farm bill pay feedlots to install waste treatment systems rather than simply pay ranchers to keep their animals on grass, where the soil would be only too happy to treat their waste at no cost?

    Related: Farming Without Subsidies in New Zealand – Washington Pays Grandchildren’s Taxes to Special Interests Today – USA Federal Debt Now $516,348 Per Household

  • Tips To Allow Retiring Sooner

    The Motely Fool is one of the best web sites for learning about investing (it is one of the sites included in our investing links – on the left column of this page). A recent article on the site is worth reading – Ways to Retire Sooner:

    Add cash… It takes a little more than $550 per month in savings earning a 7% return to get to $1 million over the course of a 35-year career. But if you can add just $100 per month to that — including what your employer puts in and your tax savings — you can cut more than two years off your wait.
    Embrace stocks Saving more is great, but there’s only so much you’ll be able to put aside. You have to make the most of what you have. People are often too conservative in their retirement investments. Despite the sometimes-violent ups and downs of the stock market, the long-term return on stocks far exceeds that of less risky investments like bonds and bank savings accounts.

    These are not exactly earth shattering recommendation but so many people fail to take even the most basic steps to assure a economically viable retirement the simple advice needs to be re-enforced. No one piece of advice can assure success but by educating yourself about investing and retirement planning and taking steps when you are in your 20s, 30s and 40s you can succeed. You can also succeed without doing anything in your 20s it just means you have to do more work later. Those that get started earlier get a huge advantage.

    Related: Saving for Retirement – Retirement Tips from TIAA CREF – Retiring Later, Out of Necessity – investment risks – IRA (Individual Retirement Accounts)