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  • Challenge Those Credit Fees

    Challenge those credit fees:

    You have some leverage, though, if you’re a “good” customer, meaning you pay bills on time and, preferably, carry a balance. In either case, don’t silently accept high fees and high rates, advocates say. Call the card issuer and politely complain. With little federal regulation of the industry, your best friend is industry competition, says CardRatings’ Arnold.

    If the card company’s representative initially balks at, say, waiving a late fee, ask to speak to the manager, Arnold says. If that doesn’t work, tell the company you want to cancel the card. At that point, you’ll likely be transferred to the retention department, whose job is to keep you as a customer, Arnold says. It’s expensive to replace customers, so you may be able to negotiate a waiver of fees or a temporary reduction in the interest rate. If not, prepare to shop around for a new card, Arnold says.

    Related: Curious Cat Credit Card Tips – Credit Card Currency Conversion Costs

  • The Real Threat Is Decreased Productivity

    The Real Threat Isn’t Housing by Michael Mandel:

    In short, the productivity acceleration of the past 10 years has created a total of $6.4 trillion in extra output since 1995, measured in 2006 dollars. That helps explain why American households, taken together, are so much richer than they were: Household nonhousing net worth, adjusted for inflation and federal debt, has soared by almost $14 trillion over the same period, despite the dot-com debacle that crashed the market.

    The massive amount of additional production is a key reason why the U.S. has not faced upward pressure on prices. And good productivity gains gave the economy enough momentum to fight off the disasters of 2001–the terrorist attacks, the stock market crash, the collapse of Enron–with only a minimal recession.

    But the bonanza starts to disappear if productivity growth drops much further below its current level. Such a decline is a lot more possible than most economists realize or are willing to accept.

    Related: Manufacturing Productivity – Be Thankful for Lean Thinking – Manufacturing Jobs Data: USA and China

  • Credit Card Tips

    It is difficult to imagine trying to live without the convenience of credit cards. Yet many get into financial trouble in part due to their misuse of credit cards. By following a few simple rules you can avoid the missteps and use credit cards to improve you personal finances instead of falling into the credit card traps.

    First, don’t use your credit card for loans. Pay off your balance each month. Pretty obvious advice but way way too many people don’t follow it. If you use your credit card for a loans – 98% of the time that is a mistake and big risk to your personal financial future. Don’t do it. There is a reason pretty much all the advice from financial advisers on credit cards starts with this – it is the most important advice.

    Second, if you don’t follow the advise above pay off your loan as soon as possible. Payment the minimum payment is huge mistake. You should not be making any discretionary purchases if you are not paying down your credit card debt substantially each month.

    Continue reading credit card tips.

  • USA Job Growth

    Job growth weakest in two years:

    The economy created 97,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said, down from a revised 146,000 gain in January, which was 35,000 more than the original estimate.

    The unemployment rate fell 4.5 percent from 4.6 percent in January. The consensus among economists was that the unemployment rate would stay at 4.6 percent, although a bit more than 20 percent of those surveyed by Reuters had been looking for a rise to 4.7 percent. Few had forecast a decline.

    Wages are now up 4.1 percent from a year earlier, and kept worker pay ahead of price increases. There was a 2.1 percent increase in prices over the 12 months ending in January

    The recent history is that the initial estimates have been revised up consistently – which means the accuracy of the initial read is less reliable recently that it had been previously.

    Employers downshift out of hire gear:

    After Labor Department readings showing that employers added an average of 187,000 jobs a month throughout 2006…
    it is natural and perhaps overdue that hiring should slow down, given the below-trend economic growth that the U.S. economy started showing with the second quarter of 2006. “Employment is a lagging indicator,” he said.

  • Bernanke Calls for Stronger Regulation of Mortgages

    Bernanke Calls for Stronger Regulation of Fannie, Freddie

    Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said yesterday that the scale of Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s mortgage investments could pose risks to the financial system, and he called for them to limit their holdings almost exclusively to loans for affordable housing.
    …
    His solution: “Tying the portfolios to a purpose that provides measurable benefits to the public would help to ensure that society in general — not just GSE shareholders — receives a meaningful return in exchange for accepting the risks inherent in the portfolios,” Bernanke said in the text of remarks prepared for delivery by satellite to a gathering of community bankers in Hawaii.

  • Learning About Mortgages

    Signing a mortgage document is one of the biggest financial actions you will take in your life. Taking the time to understand what you are getting into is important. I suggest you don’t act until you actually understand what it is you are taking on. And if that takes hours or days of reading and research so be it. Don’t find yourself with remorse for acting without understanding what you are doing with such an important financial decision.

    On the Curious Cat Investment Dictionary mortgage page we have defined some common mortgage terms and provided links to some excellent resources from the Federal Reserve and HUD as well as several articles from Business Week, including: Understanding the Mortgage Process from the Federal Reserve and Nightmare Mortgages from Business Week.

  • Buffett’s Newest Letter to Shareholders

    Buffett’s letter to shareholders. Always a required read for investors.

    We’ve come close to eliminating our direct foreign-exchange position, from which we realized about $186 million in pre-tax profits in 2006 (earnings that were included in the Finance and Financial Products table shown earlier). That brought our total gain since inception of this position in 2002 to $2.2 billion.

    Interesting. The following (and more in the letter – page 15) is extremely important.

    As our U.S. trade problems worsen, the probability that the dollar will weaken over time continues to be high. I fervently believe in real trade – the more the better for both us and the world. We had about $1.44 trillion of this honest-to-God trade in 2006. But the U.S. also had $.76 trillion of pseudo-trade last year – imports for which we exchanged no goods or services. (Ponder, for a moment, how commentators
    would describe the situation if our imports were $.76 trillion – a full 6% of GDP – and we had no exports.) Making these purchases that weren’t reciprocated by sales, the U.S. necessarily transferred ownership of its assets or IOUs to the rest of the world. Like a very wealthy but self-indulgent family, we peeled off a bit of what we owned in order to consume more than we produced.

    Related: On Warren Buffett – 2004 Annual Report by Buffett

  • Save Hundreds on Electronics

    This tip is a bit sneaky but seems perfectly legitimate to me (I have not tried it). Essentially you are exploiting the sneaky overpriced protection stores try to trick customers into buying. Personally I just turn down the stuff they try to trick me into buying. I like this tip because it goes after a tactic companies use to trick customers. I don’t like companies trying to use gimmicks to trick customers out of money. Why they would be so silly as to lower the price of the electronic equipment rather than reducing the price of the ridiculously overpriced “protection” is beyond me but as far as I can tell if they do they open themselves up to this strategy (which I admit I wouldn’t use but for those more aggressive souls out there it might be appealing). Outsmart Best Buy, Circuit City… Save Hundreds on Electronics.

    You read right. Salespeople can and will lower the price on inventory at places like Circuit City and Best Buy as long as it pleases management. This is called illegal bundling and it happens all the time.
    …
    They have however recently caught on at some stores and will not allow you to back out in the store. However, they can not prevent you from returning the warranty within 30 days for a full refund.

  • 10 Stocks for 10 Years Update – Feb 2007

    I originally setup the 10 stocks for 10 years portfolio in April of 2005. In order to track performance I setup a marketocracy portfolio but had to make some adjustment to comply with the diversification rules. In December of 2006 I announced a new 11 stocks for the next 10 years (9 are the same, I dropped First Data Corporation, which had split into 2 companies and added Tesco and Yahoo.

    The marketocracy portfolio won’t let me by Tesco so I don’t have it in that portfolio though I want to and will add it if they let me. I also have not sold Western Union of First Data (the companies resulting from the split of First Data). I still find them reasonable investments, just at this time would not buy them for the next 10 years (but for reasons such as not being able to buy Tesco and diversity rules for Marketocracy I am keeping them for now).

    At this time the stocks in the marketocracy portfolio in order of returns – Google (116% return, 15% of the portfolio), PetroChina (88%, 7%), Toyota (85%, 12%), Templeton Dragon Fund (69%, 12%), Cisco (56%, 6%), Amazon (23%, 4%), Yahoo (2%, 4%), British Petroleum (3%, -3%), Intel (3%, -11%), Dell (6%, -32%). The split First Data is probably up about 20% and combined they are 4% of the portfolio. I also have under 2% positions in a couple of stocks and about 15% in cash. I occasionally purchase or sell some amounts (I have sold a small portion of Templeton Dragon Fund and bought some Amazon, Dell, Intel and Yahoo in the last few month). I will sell First Data and or Western Union if the price increases enough. I would also like to find an energy company I like to hold in addition to PetroChina (and would likely sell BP if I find one I like for the long term).

  • Urban Planning

    Next Stop, Tysons – good article on urban planning and real estate development in Northern Virginia. Urban planning can create excellent real estate development opportunities but it is not easy. It is easy to look around the country and see how poorly planned development has been resulting in huge wastes of time through long commutes. But it is not surprising, smart planning requires long term thinking which is often lacking. Arlington made excellent decisions in the 1960s, 1970s, 1980s, 1990s and 2000s (and I am sure plenty of less than perfect ones too). The wrong decisions could have been made during that process that would have greatly reduced the benefits. Arlington now seems pretty well set and now the path toward smart development is the default position. Still they have challenges.

    Fairfax, which borders Arlington, made poorer decisions in the past. Now they have difficult decisions. It will be interesting to see how they can do. Both counties have a huge incentive to push for more subway capacity but we will see if they do it. They can’t wait until the need is urgent. Any plans will likely take decades to bring online. Plans have been floated for many years but still nothing has been decided.

    Ballston in 1979. Most notably, the surge in development along the corridor has produced relatively little additional automobile traffic, which is why Fairfax, Montgomery County and other suburbs are invoking the high-density model as the cure to their traffic woes.

    “If we don’t change the old pattern of growth and development, we will continue to get what we have always gotten,” said Gerald E. Connolly, chairman of the Fairfax Board of Supervisors.

    It is not going to be a simple process and many years of tough decisions, good management, good planning will need to follow any decisions made now. But the options of clustering high density development seems like the best bet for success to me. One strategy of a real estate investor can be to find a good long term (say 10+ years) play (like Arlington) and invest before the prices skyrocket. Then just sit back as the likely takes place and watch your investment grow.

    Arlington now has fairly high housing prices, the question is likely whether they have skyrocketed yet (many say they have – I am not so sure, they are not cheap but for what the potential for the area is they could go much higher). It certainly is not as great an opportunity as it was in 1995. The government sure feels flush – spending over $80 million each for 2 high school in the next couple of years (replacing schools build a few decades ago – school population is actually shrinking not growing)! Real estate taxes have been increasing dramatically each year to pay for more and more spending.