Tag: internet

  • Tencent Gaming

    Tencent is one of the stocks in my 10 stocks for 10 years portfolio. In fact it is my largest holding (when you consider that Tencent shares owned by Naspers. Some others have performed better since my reboot of the portfolio in August of 2018: Apple (from 225 to 318) and Danaher (from 103 to 162) and Naspers (33 to 34, which might not seem so great but 2 spinoffs provide another 15) but I still like Tencent a great deal for the next 8 to 10 years.

    Tencent has quite a few huge global businesses. One of the most promising areas is Tencent Gaming. Tencent has ownership in many of the largest computer gaming companies globally.

    people playing computer games
    image by Fredrick Tendong

    Tencent’s ownership share in Gaming companies

    • Tencent Games – Honor of Kings (Arena of Valor outside of China) and esports leagues
    • Riot Games (100%) – League of Legends and esports leagues
    • Supercell (84%) – Clash of Clans, Clash Royale, and Brawl Stars
    • Epic Games (40%) – Fortnite and Unreal Engine (gaming engine used to create many games)
    • Activision Blizzard (5%) – Call of Duty, World of Warcraft, StarCraft, Diablo, Hearthstone, Heroes of the Storm, Overwatch, Guitar Hero and Candy Crush. They are also involved with esports. (Activision Blizzard is a public company in the USA valued at $46 billion)
    • Ubisoft (5%) – Assassin’s Creed, Far Cry, Just Dance and Prince of Persia. (public French company worth $8.7 billion)
    • Grinding Gear Games (80%) – Path of Exile
    • Glu Mobile (14%) – many smaller games (public USA company valued at $915 million)
    • Bluehole (12%) – PlayerUnknown’s Battlegrounds
    • Paradox Interactive (5%) – Stellaris, Europa Universalis, Hearts of Iron, Crusader Kings, Cities: Skylines (public Swedish company valued at $1.2 billion?)
    • Funcom (29%) (public Norwegian company valued at $145 million – after the stock price increased last week due to a Tencent a buyout offer)
    • Sumo Digital (10%)

    Tencent also have an undisclosed majority stake in Miniclip. And they own large portions of Huya and Douyu, both are big players in streaming games (similar to Twitch and YouTube Gaming).

    Tencent’s subsidiary, TiMi Studios, developed Activision’s Call of Duty: Mobile.

    Tencent gaming revenue struggled in 2019 due to regulatory actions in China created problems for all game publishers there. Long term global gaming revenue should continue to grow quickly and Tencent stands to be one of the best positioned companies to profit from that trend.
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  • We Need to Start Electing People That Fix Problems Instead of Watching Things Burn

    The latest massive breach of USA citizen’s private information by poorly run companies once again shows how we are voting for the wrong type of people. We need to start electing people that fix problems instead of watching things burn.

    It is not impossible to improve if you elect people that care about making things better. If you elect people that are driven mainly by doing favors for those giving them cash you get the system we have now.

    I believe in designing systems that use markets to create the best solutions to desired outcomes (this is the basic idea of real capitalism – instead of the crony capitalism we have been infected with). Europe has much more respect for citizen’s privacy that the USA does. Europe has much more effect laws on protecting citizen’s privacy. For decades the 2 political parties in the USA have taken large cash donations (and more, future cushy jobs…) to allow the current system to punish citizen’s as their private information is abused and they are expected to spend their time and resources to fix the problems created by the identity theft the lack of decent systems in the USA to stop identity theft. And the design by the 2 parties to put the cost of dealing with it on voters and the benefits (of selling private consumer information and using poor security practices to create problems that voters have to clean up) to those giving the parties cash.

    We need to stop voting for such corrupt parties and such poor representatives of our interests (though they are very good representatives of those paying them cash).

    So what is a simple starting point for taking the burden of dealing with the easy identity theft our political parties and companies that don’t care about the costs of their sloppy practices on society are?

    1. Force those approving false credit to pay. Anytime you have to fix credit given falsely in your name they must pay you. Say, $1,000 minimum.
    2. Force those providing false information about you to pay. If credit bureaus report false information about you that you must correct it is $50 if it is fixed within 7 days of a simple internet form being completed. If it takes 30 days the cost is $150. If they require you to provide additional information, additional costs accrue. They must provide your the original documentation on the loans.
    3. Give consumer automatic and free control over the use of their private information.
      Obviously, credit freezes, and managing that status must be free.
    4. Any organization that collects private financial information must have liability insurance. That insurance will automatically pay per security breach. For name + SSN ($150) + Date of birth ($20) + cell phone number ($20) + current address ($100) + credit card number ($50) + email address ($10) + mother’s maiden name ($25), etc. If you do not collect SSN, credit card number, cell phone number or current address this will not apply. I haven’t given it any thought, but there should be some level of private information that pushes you into the category of the organization that must have liability coverage (what that is can be worked out).
    5. The funds for those security breaches are paid to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and used to
      • create better security practices for private information
      • fund enforcement of those better security practices
      • fund law enforcement investigations and criminal prosecution of those abusing private financial information

    This idea needs to be expanded beyond my 1 hour of thinking about it, but it is sad that in 1 hour I can think of much more effective ideas than our political parties have put in place in 20 years.

    The reliance on SSN as a identifier for people is something that shouldn’t have been allowed. It is one of many things that should be fixed and it should be fixed quickly.

    The organization created here needs to focus on privacy of data. They need to encourage the use of encryption. They need to be given a seat at the table to counter those seeking to promote hacking (both leaving insecure software in place and creating insecurity in the software ecosystem to exploit and be exploited by criminals and other states) to benefit state sponsored spying. That debate will result in tradeoffs. Sometimes they will decide to allow our private information to be put at risk for other benefits. But they need to accept the responsibility of doing so. It would likely be sensible to charge the departments leaving open security holes and creating security holes anytime it becomes obvious that they are responsible for the harm to us. Otherwise they pretend there are not costs to the very bad security practices that our government has been encouraging (even as crazy as it sounds building backdoors into software – which is a security disaster obviously).

    Other than the extremely sad state of affairs in health care in the USA (with the Republicans focusing on making it much worse) the biggest threat to our personal finances is likely the lack of security in our financial system (though to be fair there are other plausible candidates – very high debt level…).

    Related: Protecting Your Privacy and Security (2015)Making Credit Cards More Secure and Useful (2014)Governments Shouldn’t Prevent Citizens from Having Secure Software Solutions USA Congress Further Aids Those Giving Them Cash Risks Economic Calamity AgainSecurity, Verification of Change8 Million New Potential Victims of Identity Theft (2008)

  • Could Amazon Significantly Impact Google’s Adsense Income?

    Amazon Prepares Online Advertising Program

    The people familiar with the matter said Amazon’s offering would resemble Google’s AdWords, the engine that Google uses to place keyword-targeted ads alongside Google search results and on more than two million other websites. AdWords is the foundation of Google’s roughly $50 billion-a-year advertising business, and Google counts Amazon as one of its biggest buyers of text link ads.

    This is potentially a real risk to Google. The odds of such a huge success it decreases Google’s profits are tiny (I think). But there is a real risk that the increase in Google’s profits going forward are materially affected by a well done competitor to Adsense.

    Adwords is Google’s platform for buying ads. Those ads are then displayed on Google’s websites and on millions of other websites. Other websites can host ads via the Adsense program. It seems to me what is really at risk is better seen as Adsense business. The business on Google’s own websites is not at risk (Google’s profit from its sites are double I think all the other sites [via Adsense] combined).

    If Amazon took away 10% of what Google’s Adsense business 4 years would have been that is likely material to Google’s earning. Not huge but real.

    Even losing the ads on Amazon’s web site is likely noticeable (though not a huge deal, for Google, for many companies it would be significant, I would guess).

    There is even the potential Google has to reduce their profitability, on Adsense, to compete – giving web sites a better cut of revenue.

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  • Amazon Soars on Good Earnings and Projected Sales

    Amazon’s stock price is up 25% to $117 today, after announcing good earnings and increasing sales projections for the 4th quarter. I own stock in Amazon and have it in my 12 stocks for 10 years portfolio. That portfolio is currently beating the S&P 500 by 500 basis points (for annualized return) with a beta of .96 (meaning with a bit less risk than the S&P 500 historically and an alpha of 4.7).

    Operating cash flow for Amazon was $2.25 billion for the trailing twelve months, compared with $1.27 billion for prior year. Free cash flow increased 98% to $1.92 billion from $0.97 billion for the trailing twelve months.

    Net sales increased 28% to $5.45 billion in the third quarter, compared with $4.26 billion in third quarter 2008. Operating income increased 62% to $251 million in the third quarter, compared with $154 million in third quarter 2008.

    Net income increased 68% to $199 million in the third quarter, or $0.45 per diluted share, compared with net income of $118 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, in third quarter 2008.

    “Kindle has become the #1 bestselling item by both unit sales and dollars – not just in our electronics store but across all product categories on Amazon.com. It’s also the most wished for and the most gifted. We are grateful for and energized by this customer response,” said Jeff Bezos, founder and CEO of Amazon.com. “Earlier this week we began shipping the latest generation Kindle. Its 3G wireless works in the U.S. and 100 countries, and we’ve just lowered its price to $259.”

    North America segment sales, representing the Company’s U.S. and Canadian sites, were $2.84 billion, up 23% from third quarter 2008. International segment sales, representing the Company’s U.K., German, Japanese, French and Chinese sites, were $2.61 billion, up 33% from third quarter 2008. Worldwide Electronics & Other General Merchandise sales grew 44% to $2.36 billion.

    For the quarter that ends in December, Amazon forecast sales of $8.1 billion to $9.1 billion (compared with $8.19 billion in previous analyst estimates).

    Amazon continues to build a strong company for the long term. I must admit I think the current stock price might be a bit too high. But I believe in the long term success of the company. They continue to make intelligent, customer focused decisions.

    Related: 12 Stocks for 10 Years – July 2009 UpdateAnother Great Quarter for Amazon (July 2007)Very Good Amazon Earnings (April 2007)Amazon InnovationJeff Bezos and Root Cause AnalysisJeff Bezos management quotes

  • Money Hacks Carnival #50

    I am glad to be hosting the 50th edition of the Money Hacks Carnival. There really are a ton of great post on money hacks for your personal finances. I have highlighted some of my favorites from the last week. New visitors to the Curious Cat Economics and Investing Blog may be interested in some of past personal finance posts.

    I have included snippets from a some highlighted posts which illustrate the great number of thoughtful individuals writing blogs about how to manage your money more effectively and the economic conditions that impact each of our personal financial lives.

    Income

      Using money and budgeting

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    • Google’s Underwater Cables

      I respect the management of Google. They are not tied to conventional ways of thinking. When they bought huge amounts of dark fiber (fiber optic cable that had been laid down in the internet bubble period, but was sitting unused). I figured they had made good investments while the cable was very cheap (pennies on the dollar). I watch with interest as they continue to build their own (with partners) fiber network. I am guessing this may be partially because they are smart enough to know the business oligopolies providing internet infrastructure will try to exploit their positions and government cannot be counted out to play their proper regulatory role, which is required in a capitalist system. And partially due to their huge bandwidth needs and projections for future growth.

      And since those oligopolies are not very effective companies (that rely largely on paying politicians, in order to undermine the proper role of government in a capitalist system, to gain government granted monopolist profits). That increases the benefit of Google buying into their own distribution network since excess capacity can likely be sold at a large profit: the competing companies are so used to charging monopoly prices leaving lots of room for profit. The second point can be debated but I don’t think if the economy functioned properly, with intelligently regulated natural monopolies providing internet bandwidth, I doubt Google would invest in this, but, of course, I could be wrong.

      About the Unity bandwidth consortium

      Collectively we just signed an agreement to build a new high-bandwidth subsea cable system linking the U.S. and Japan (more detail in the press release). This cable system, named Unity, will address increasing broadband demand by providing more capacity to sustain the unprecedented growth in data and Internet traffic between Asia and the U.S.

      Google stretching underwater comms cable?

      says a comms-happy research outfit dubbed TeleGeography, Eric Schmidt and crew are planning a second cable system that would connect Japan to Guam, Hong Kong, the Philippines, Thailand, and Singapore.

      Meanwhile, ITWeb reports that Google is looking to run a third underwater cable to South Africa.

      I own Google stock.

      Related: Monopolies and Oligopolies do not a Free Market MakeChallenges in Laying Internet Fiber Under OceansPlugging America’s Broadband GapNot Understanding Capitalism

    • Telephone Savings

      Update: I would not even consider using Vonage. Any company that takes you money using there online site and then refuses to cancel your service without you call them is exactly like the traditional phone companies they try in ads to say they are different than. Then you call and then force your through a ridicules voice mail tree and then they tell you you have to call back between 9-5 on weekdays to have the privilege of not having them take your money. Completely unacceptable behavior. You can get VOIP phone service without a monthly free now via Ooma by purchasing a device to plug your broadband internet connection into (I got mine for $203 via Amazon).

      old post:
      Cutting expenses is a great way to free up money to add to savings.

      A couple years ago I switched to Vonage for my phone service. They provide phone service through my DSL high speed internet line. I play just $18/mo for local and long distance calls (this is for 500 minutes or less – for $29/mo you can get unlimited calling in North America and Europe). I still use my same phone (I just plug my regular phone into a modem they provided). You do lose the ability to make phone calls when the internet is down which happens if the power goes off – people can still leave you voicemail). I have been very happy and get free voice mail and free caller ID.

      More recently I picked up a prepaid phone from Virgin. I pay only for the time I use (no monthly charges) – 25 cents a minute for the first 10 minutes any day and 10 cents a minute thereafter. There are no fees for calling from out of your service area and you have a regular cell phone number. They require I add a minimum of $15 every 3 months to the account but if I don’t use that much the balance just keep growing. This is ideal for anyone that doesn’t spend much time on cell phones. Now some people are very attached to their cell phone. Then this isn’t a good way to save money but for those that don’t feel the need to to stay in touch at all times this is a good option to stay connected when you want without having to pay high monthly fees.

      Together I save at least $35/mo. (over $400 a year) and loose nothing I value. I would have to earn an extra $700, or so, to have the same impact (I have to pay taxes on additional earning).