Investing Curiouscatblog

Tag: manufacturing

  • April 2009 Federal Reserve Beige Book

    Federal Reserve Beige Book highlights for April 15th. The Beige Book documents comments received from business and other contacts outside the Federal Reserve and is not a commentary on the views of Federal Reserve officials. The book is published eight times a year.

    Manufacturing activity continued to decline in most Districts and across a wide range of industries. Several reports, however, noted that the pace of decline had slowed or that factory activity had stabilized. The Boston, Philadelphia, Richmond, Atlanta, St. Louis, Minneapolis, and San Francisco Districts cited decreases in production. The Chicago and Kansas City Districts said declines in production had slowed.
    …
    Manufacturers’ assessments of future factory activity improved marginally over the survey period as well.
    …
    Consumer spending remained generally weak. However, several Districts said sales rose slightly or declines moderated compared with the previous survey period.
    …
    Home prices continued to decline in most Districts, although a few reports noted that prices were unchanged or that the pace of decline had eased. Low mortgage rates were fueling refinancing activity. Outlooks for the housing sector were generally more optimistic than in earlier surveys, with respondents hopeful that increased buyer interest would lead to better sales.
    …
    Commercial real estate investment activity weakened further.
    …
    Labor market conditions were weak and reports of layoffs, reductions in work hours, temporary factory shutdowns, branch closures and hiring freezes remained widespread across Districts.

    Related: Central Bank Intervention Unprecedented in scale and Scope – Why do we Have a Federal Reserve Board? – Manufacturing Employment Data – 1979 to 2007 – Oil Consumption by Country

  • FreeWave: Successful Company in Difficult Times

    It is easy with the existing economic news to think things are bleak everywhere. But even in the current climate companies find success. Founded in 1993, FreeWave Technologies is a world leader in the innovative design and manufacture of ISM Band radios and wireless data solutions. Their data-transmitting radios span the globe from the Middle East to Mount Everest to the Amazon Rainforest to Antarctica to New York. They are used by defense contractors, oil and gas companies, city and county municipalities and industrial manufacturers.

    The privately held company is based in Boulder, Colorado, the company offers network design, pre-installation engineering services and manufactures its own radios (manufacturing them in Boulder).

    FreeWave’s increase in revenues of 112 percent from 2003 to 2007. The company has paid this bonus every six months since the first one was paid in July 1995. Over the past year, FreeWave has invested in expanding its facility to accommodate more staff; growing its manufacturing space and capabilities; dedicating more resources and technology to its product development; increasing its customer and partner training; and, investing in marketing and sales.

    Boulder company shares $9 million with employees

    The Boulder-based company says it has had profits every month since it hired its first employee in 1995. There have been no layoffs. Employees get company-funded retirement plans and bonuses based on profits and growth.

    And there’s more: As part of a $113 million private-equity investment deal in 2007, FreeWave is sharing $9 million of investors’ money with its fewer than 100 employees as a reward for the company’s success. Shares are divvied up based on individual performance.

    Related: Another Great Quarter for Amazon (July 2007) – Great Google Earnings (April 2007) – Curious Cat Investing Books – $60 Million Bonus – For all Staff – Family Business Gives $6.6 million in Bonuses to Workers

  • Manufacturing Contracting Globally

    Global manufacturing recession continued in February. From the Institute for Supply Management, the USA is in the 13th consecutive month of contraction:

    Manufacturing contracted in February as the PMI registered 35.8 percent, which is 0.2 percentage point higher than the 35.6 percent reported in January. This is the 13th consecutive month of contraction in the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally contracting.

    Japanese Factory Output Posts Record Drop in January

    Japan says its industrial output plunged a record 10 percent in January, another sign the world’s second-largest economy is facing its worst economic recession since the end of World War II. January’s bad numbers break the previous record of 9.8 percent set just the month before.

    European Manufacturing Contracts at Record Pace

    A gauge of manufacturing activity declined to 33.5 from 34.4 in January, lower than an initial estimate of 33.6 published on Feb. 20. The index is based on a survey of purchasing managers by Markit Economics and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
    …
    The manufacturing index for Germany, Europe’s largest economy, was at 32.1 in February, lower than the initially reported 32.2, according to a separate report. Italy’s dropped to 35 from 36.1 and the French gauge declined to 34.8 from 37.9, less than the initial estimate.
    …
    The International Monetary Fund predicts the euro area economy will contract 2 percent this year.

    In Korea, industrial output shark 26% in January, the largest decline even (statistics available since 1970). A one month period is not very significant but with a 26% decline that is still huge. And the December decline was 19%

    China appears to be slowing the least of any sizable manufacturer:

    The CLSA China Purchasing Managers Index, produced by U.K.-based research firm Markit Group Ltd., came in at 45.1 in February, compared with 42.2 in January. The index registered a record low of 40.9 in November. A PMI reading below 50 indicates contraction.

    It was the third straight month that the PMI came in higher than the month before, which provided some hope that China’s economy, which grew at its slowest pace in seven years in the fourth quarter of 2008, might be starting to stabilize. But economists are far from declaring an economic rebound.

    Related: Manufacturing Employment Data from 1979 to 2007 – Top 12 Manufacturing Countries in 2007 – The Economy is in Serious Trouble – Japanese Economy Shrinks 12.7% – USA Job Growth (2007)

  • USA Manufacturing Output Continues to Increase (over the long term)

    When looking at the long term data, USA manufacturing output continues to increase. For decades people have been repeating the claim that the manufacturing base is eroding. It has not been true. I realize the economy is on weak ground today, I am not talking about that, I am looking at the long term trends.

    The USA manufactures more than anyone else – by far. The percentage of total global manufacturing is the same today it was two decades ago (and further back as well). For decades people have been saying the USA has lost the manufacturing base – it just is not true. No matter how many times they say it does not make it true. It is true since 2000 the USA increase in manufacturing output (note not a decrease) has not kept pace with global grown in manufacturing output (global output in that period is up 47% and the USA is up 19% – Japan is down 10% for that period).

    I would guess 20 years from today the USA will have a lower percentage of worldwide manufacturing. But I don’t see any reason believe the USA will see a decline in total manufacturing output. I just think the rest of the world is likely to grow manufacturing output more rapidly.

    Looking at a year or even 2 or 3 years of manufacturing output data leaves a great deal of room to see trends where really just random variation exists. Even for longer periods trends are hard to project into the future.

    Conventional wisdom is correct about China growing manufacturing output tremendously. China has grown from 4% of the output of the largest manufacturing companies in 1990 to manufacturing 16% of the total output in China today. That 12% had to come from other’s shares. And given all you hear from the general press, financial press, politicians, commentators… you would think the USA must have much less than China today, so may 10% and maybe they had 20% in 1990. When actually in 1990 the USA had 28% and in 2007 they had 27%.

    Manufacturing jobs are not moving oversees. Manufacturing jobs are decreasing everywhere.
    (more…)

  • Manufacturing Employment Data – 1979 to 2007

    I have had difficulty finding good economic data on manufacturing jobs. I have posted about this previously but have trouble finding much worth posting about: Worldwide Manufacturing Job Data – Manufacturing Jobs. The Unites States Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics has published some interesting data and so here is a look at some of that data.

    The table shows average annual productivity gains (output per hour, in USA dollars – I think it is not clear) – the 2007 output totals are from the United Nations data I posted about last week (Data on Top Manufacturing Countries).

    Average Annual Manufacturing Productivity Gains by Country
    Country 1979-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2007 1979-2007 2007 Output
    $USA billion
    Taiwan 6.1 4.7 5.6 6.4 5.9
    Korea NA 9.4 10.8 7.6 NA 241
    USA 2.8 3.7 5.6 4.6 3.9 1,831
    France 3.8 3.4 4.6 3.5 3.8 296
    Japan 3.8 3.3 3.4 3.8 3.6 926
    United Kingdom 4.1 2.8 2.7 3.9 3.6 342
    Germany 2.1 2.9 3.7 3.8 3.0 670
    Spain 3.3 3.1 0.8 2.1 2.5 208
    Canada 2.1 3.4 3.8 1.1 2.4 218
    Italy 3.4 3.8 1.4 -.2 2.2 345

    The countries that were part of the study but are not included in the table above: Australia, Belgium, Denmark, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden.

    Manufacturing productivity increased in 14 of 16 countries in 2007, according to the study. The United States of America increase of 4.1 was the fourth largest among the 16 economies and was slightly above the 3.9 percent U.S. average annual increase since 1979. 15 of the 16 countries increased manufacturing output in 2007.

    9 countries increased manufacturing hours worked in 2007, the USA increased 2.3% (below their average increase since 1979). Hours worked decreased for all countries in the period of 2000-2007 (UK has had the largest decrease 3.9% annual average decrease, the USA in next at 3.1%).

    Manufacturing employment increased in 10 countries in 2007. From 2000-2007 the USA has experienced average annual declines of 3% in manufacturing employment (the second sharpest drop to the UK which has fallen 4%). From 1979-2007 the USA annual declines averaged 1.2% (only Taiwan.9% and Spain .1% showed increases). From 2000-2007 four countries show slight average annual increases: Spain .5%, Korea .4%, Taiwan .2% and Italy .2%. From 2000-2007 only 3 countries showed annual average decreases in output: Canada -.3%, Italy -.2% and UK – .1%.

    Hourly manufacturing compensation has increased in all countries for the period 1979-2007 (data shown for this item is in each national currency: USA 4.6% average annual increases, Spain up 7.2% annually, Taiwan up 7%, UK 6.8%, Germany 4.4%, Japan 4.2%.

    via: Canada’s Manufacturing Crisis in International Perspective

    Related: posts on employment – Top 10 Manufacturing Countries 2006

  • Top 12 Manufacturing Countries in 2007

    The updated data from the United Nations on manufacturing output by country clearly shows the USA remains by far the largest manufacturer in the world. UN Data, in billions of current US dollars:

    Country 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2007
    USA 1,041 1,289 1,543 1,663 1,700 1,831
    China 143 299 484 734 891 1,106
    Japan 804 1,209 1.034 954 934 926
    Germany 438 517 392 566 595 670
    Russian Federation 211 104 73 222 281 362
    Italy 240 226 206 289 299 345
    United Kingdom 207 219 228 269 303 342
    France 224 259 190 249 248 296
    Korea 65 129 134 200 220 241
    Canada 92 100 129 177 195 218
    Spain 101 103 98 164 176 208
    Brazil 120 125 96 137 170 206
    Additional countries of interest – not the next largest
    India 50 59 67 118 135 167
    Mexico 50 55 107 122 136 144
    Indonesia 29 60 46 80 102 121
    Turkey 33 38 38 75 85 101

    The USA’s share of the manufacturing output of the countries that manufactured over $200 billion in 2007 (the 12 countries on the top of the chart above) in 1990 was 28%, 1995 28%, 2000 33%, 2005 30%, 2006 28%, 2007 27%. China’s share has grown from 4% in 1990, 1995 7%, 2000 11%, 2005 13%, 2006 15%, 2007 16%.

    Total manufacturing output in the USA was up 76% in 2007 from the 1990 level. Japan, the second largest manufacturer in 1990, and third today, has increased output 15% (the lowest of the top 12, France is next lowest at 32%) while China is up an amazing 673% (Korea is next at an increase of 271%).
    (more…)

  • Top 10 Manufacturing Countries 2006

    Here is updated data from the UN on manufacturing output by country. China continues to grow amazingly moving into second place for 2006. UN Data, in billions of current US dollars:

    Country 1990 2000 2004 2005 2006
    USA 1,040 1,543 1,545 1,629 1,725
    China 143 484 788 939 1096
    Japan 808 1,033 962 954 929
    Germany 437 392 559 584 620
    Italy 240 206 295 291 313
    United Kingdom 207 230 283 283 308
    France 223 190 256 253 275
    Brazil 117 120 130 172 231
    Korea 65 134 173 199 216
    Canada 92 129 165 188 213
    Additional countries of interest – not the next largest
    Mexico 50 107 111 122 136
    India 50 67 100 118 130
    Indonesia 29 46 72 79 103
    Turkey 33 38 75 92 100

    (more…)