Investing Curiouscatblog

Category: Financial Literacy

  • Pressure Rises Against Bottled Water

    Pressure rises against bottled water. This item is really more about just thinking than personal finance but since I get to decide what to write I decided to post it here. I could have posted in on the Curious Cat Science and Engineering Blog. But when I see so many silly people paying way more for water than the $85 a barrel oil I hope that it is just because they don’t think not that they can’t think. Plus I just posted: Bottled Water Waste a few months ago.

    Cities around the nation are joining influential restaurateurs and activists in a public campaign to be launched Wednesday to convince consumers to choose tap water over bottles.
    …
    Salt Lake City Mayor Ross Anderson said, “When I see people at the airport go over to a vending machine and waste their money buying bottled water at the vending when it’s standing right next to a water faucet, you really have to wonder at the utter stupidity and the responsibility sometimes of American consumers.”

    Wow, very blunt and very true. Related: Ignorance of Many Mortgage Holders – Too Much Stuff – Shop Around for Drugs

  • Majoring in Credit Card Debt

    Majoring in credit-card debt:

    Critics say that as the companies compete for this important growth market, they offer credit lines far out of proportion to students’ financial means, reaching $10,000 or more for youngsters without jobs. The cards often come with little or no financial education, leaving some unsophisticated students with no idea what their obligations will be. Then when students build up balances on their cards, they find themselves trapped in a maze of jargon and baffling fees, with annual interest rates shooting up to more than 30%. “No industry in America is more deserving of oversight by Congress,” says Travis Plunkett, legislative director for Consumer Federation of America, a consumer advocacy group.

    First, it is sad that college students are so lame they can’t even understand basic personal finance concepts like high interest credit card debt is very bad. But millions of them seem to actually be that lame (not exactly a great sign from our future leaders :-/). The credit card companies actually claim: “Our overall approach toward college students is to help them build good financial habits and a credit history that prepares them for a lifetime of successful credit use.” Does anyone believe this? A related articles discussed how much cash universities were taking from credit card companies: The Dirty Secret of Campus Credit Cards.

    But Leech warns that schools that get money from credit card companies through affinity contracts or other marketing agreements face intractable problems, in which the school’s financial interests are in direct conflict with those of students and alumni.

    It really isn’t that hard to do the right thing. Credit card companies have learned to profit by gauging their customers. If they claim that they are trying to teach good financial habit then the university to set up a contract to favor that. If bad practices occur (students not paying off the full balance say) they the credit card companies don’t get to make a profit on that – since it would be rewarding failure by the credit card company. How you want to do this is up to you but I can’t think of several ways. It is pretty simple – don’t let the credit card companies profit by encouraging stupid credit card use – like they do now.

    Yes, creating a climate where the universities focus on the credit card companies actually doing what they say they want to do is a new way of thinking. But paying universities millions to market exorbitantly expensive financial products that harm students finances and teach them bad financial lessons is not some grand tradition passed down from Cambridge 200 years ago. Obviously neither side minds doing things differently for the right amount of cash. Lets see if they mind doing so to help the students learn. My guess is they will mind doing that. But I will be happy if I am proved wrong. My guess is that some schools would (and maybe even are doing this) – some schools really do care about helping their students learn.

    The universities could choose to use their clout to help student instead of just getting a big payday for themselves. That would be a good lesson for students to learn. Much more effective then telling students they really should act ethically and not only chase after the dollars after they graduate. Such “advice” rings pretty hollow if you see that same university selling students out for a quick buck.

    Related: Poor “Customer Service” from Discover Card – Credit Card Tips – Don’t Let the Credit Card Companies Play You for a Fool

  • Homes Entering Foreclosure at Record

    Some pretty amazing statistics are in this article – Homes entering foreclosure at record:

    Delinquencies hit 5.12 percent of all outstanding mortgages, up from 4.39 percent a year ago, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said in a quarterly survey.

    Serious delinquencies, those 90 days or more late, jumped to 1.11 percent of all loans, from 0.98 percent in the first quarter. The loans actually entering foreclosure proceedings stood at 0.65 percent, a rise from 0.58 percent in the first three months – and the highest rate in the MBA’s 55-year history.

    This quote however is a bit misguided I think:

    More Americans are falling behind in their mortgage payments as stagnant home prices, auto-industry weakness and climbing interest rates have taken a toll on housing affordability.

    Stagnant home prices have not taken a toll on housing affordability. Yes people that put nothing down and took out mortgage where they could not pay the monthly payments and planned to just borrow even more from the house if the house price went up can’t afford it – but they couldn’t afford it in the first place.

    Related: Learning About Mortgages – Mortgage Defaults: Latest Woe for Housing – Ignorance of Many Mortgage Holders – Median Housing Prices Down 1.5% in the Last Year – How Not to Convert Equity

  • Washington’s Funny Accounting

    Fuzzy Bush math

    There will be lots of celebrating in Washington next month when the Treasury announces that the federal budget deficit for fiscal 2007, which ends September 30, will have dropped to a mere $158 billion, give or take a few bucks. That will be $90 billion below the reported 2006 deficit and will be toasted by the White House and Treasury as a great accomplishment.

    But I have a nasty little secret for you, folks. If you use realistic numbers rather than what I call WAAP – Washington Accepted Accounting Principles – the real federal deficit for the current fiscal year is more than 2-1/2 times the stated deficit.

    What is going on? The same old story. Those in charge of spending the money in Washington like to use deceptive tactics to try and trick people that don’t know any better. For example, if the government incurs a deferred liability to pay $100 Billion dollars in future social security payments this year and invests that money in treasury bonds they act like the government didn’t spend that money. Of course it did, they took $100 billion in social security taxes and spent it to build bridges to nowhere, pay huge corporate welfare payments, other worthless wastes, even worthwhile things etc..

    Related: USA Federal Debt Now $516,348 Per Household – Washington Paying Out Money it Doesn’t Have – Concord Coalition

  • Credit Freeze Stops Identity Theft Cold

    Credit freeze stops identity theft cold (link broken, so it was removed):

    Every day, about 27,000 Americans are the victims of identity theft, according to the Federal Trade Commission. In about a third of those crimes, crooks use the information to open new accounts in their victims’ names.
    …
    But the landscape is improving with security freezes, a safeguard promoted by Consumers Union (the nonprofit publisher of Consumer Reports) and other consumer groups that has been adopted in 37 states, including California, and the District of Columbia.

    A freeze essentially locks up the information needed to conduct a credit check, and creditors won’t open new accounts without that check. An imposter will be foiled, but you can lift the freeze using a PIN if you want to open new accounts. A security freeze provides much stronger protection than the fraud alert currently available under federal law.
    …
    Credit bureaus also make big bucks from selling to consumers more expensive credit-monitoring services, which are unnecessary, especially when a security freeze is in place. Consumers Union has asked the Federal Trade Commission to help inform consumers about security freezes.

    See if your state has protected citizens or is not doing what it should: credit freeze status by state.

    Related: Real Free Credit Report – Credit Card Tips – links on identity theft

  • Mortgage Payments by Credit Score

    A few months ago we posted on the effect your FICO (“credit”) score would have on your mortgage payment. Given turmoil in the credit markets we though it would be interesting to revisit that post.

    Example 30 year mortgage rates (from myfico.com – see site for current rate estimates):

    FICO score APR May APR Aug payment/mo May payment/mo Aug
    760-850 5.86% 6.27% $2,362 $2,467
    700-759 6.08% 6.49% $2,419 $2,525
    660-699 6.37% 6.77% $2,493 $2,600
    620-659 7.18% 7.58% $2,709 $2,819
    580-619 8.82% 9.32% $3,167 $3,311
    500-579 9.68% 10.31% $3,416 $3,603

    Amounts shown for borrowing $400,000 and rates as of May 7th. For scores above 620, the APRs above assume a mortgage with 1.0 points and 80% Loan-to-Value Ratio. For scores below 620, these APRs assume a mortgage with 0 points and 60 to 80% Loan-to-Value Ratio.

    Frankly I was expecting the rates to show the widely reported expanding of the risk premium (charging increasingly higher rates for riskier borrowers). For example, in May the difference was 382 basis points (9.68% for the lowest FICO range and 5.86% for the highest. However the current difference is just 404 basis points – hardly a big increase. The reason must be that the MyFICO page shows rates for homes with 20% down at the high end of scores and 20-40% down below there.

    Related: 30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Rates – Learning About Mortgages

  • Real Estate Median Prices Down 1.5% in the Last Year

    Home prices drop for fourth straight quarter. Wow – that sounds bad.

    During the second quarter, the median single-family home price was $223,800, 1.5 percent less than a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). It was the fourth consecutive quarter of price declines. Condo prices rose 1 percent to a median of $226,800.

    Wow, that doesn’t sound bad. For comparison the NASDAQ index was down 1.6% today. In addition, always remember median prices are not as straight forward as it might seem. The mix of housing that sells changes between the periods being compared. Often (though maybe not this time) as the housing speculation subsides the mix of houses shifts as fewer expensive houses are bought which would tend to mean even if prices for identical houses stayed the same the median price (of houses actually sold) would decline.

    Home sales have fallen in many markets, inventories have stretched to a nearly eight-month supply, and new-home builders have been reporting big losses.

    There are real changes taking place in the real estate market but the big changes are increased inventories, increased mortgage defaults and a credit crunch – not declining prices. My prediction of price drops was as small as any almost any I saw over the last few years. And so far, the declines are even less than I thought we would see. The biggest factor for the depth of the pricing declines is going to be how many houses are forced into foreclosure (which is unfortunately possibly going to be high due to adjustable rate mortgages being adjusted up and requiring higher mortgage payments).

    In the short term, the credit crunch is having an impact and that may increase if the jumbo loans (for those with significant down payment and good credit) continue to be hard to finance. But I don’t expect that to be the situation even 3 months from now – of course I could be wrong. The real estate situation (pricing, inventory…), as often is the case, is hugely impacted by the location. Some areas, like Arizona and Florida, are being hardest hit now.

    Related: Real estate articles – Beginning of the End of Housing Bubble? (2004) – Homebuilders’ confidence at 16-year low – mortgage information

  • Housing Inventory Glut

    Housing inventory glut gets fatter

    Zip monitors 18 metro-area markets from all four regions of the country. For the 12 months ended July 31, only Boston and San Diego showed drops. Boston’s inventory fell 5.8 percent and San Diego’s dropped 2.1 percent. The average for the 18 cities was a 19 percent increase in homes on the market
    …
    The wait for tenants may be a long one. It’s much harder to get a loan these days for all but the best borrowers. Borrowers, for the most part, now must put more money down, document their income and assets, have few dings against their credit worthiness and show that they can afford the payments. Those tightened lending restrictions eliminate potential buyers from the market, reducing demand even as more supply hits the listings due to big jumps in foreclosures and builders finishing up projects initiated before the slump took hold.

    What does the current data show about the real estate market overall? Across the country in the last year the median price has actually increased slightly. It looks like the data for the calendar year 2007 will show a decline for about 2%. Some areas have been much harder hit with median prices dropping over 10% (Las Vegas, Florida, Phoenix…). Mortgages any of 1) questionable credit score 2) jumbo loan or to a lessor extent with little money down are becoming hard to come by. Foreclosures are increasing dramatically. Builders are having a great deal of difficulty selling new housing they have built.

    Still the decline in median prices is far from as dramatic as many feel (there have been large changes in the market but it still has not lead to a crash in home values or even a noticeable decline in most places). The increasing supply of houses for sale will put pressure on housing prices to decline. But without a significant continued increase in foreclosures (which is possible but it is still difficult to predict how large an increase we will see) I still do not believe we will see dramatic price declines in most of the country. The possibility (of say declines of over 15% in a year or two) is much higher now than it was in the last couple of years.

    Post from 2004 on the real estate bubble worries then – again prices would have to fall a great deal to fall below the prices in 2004 (possible but not very likely to happen in the coming years). The real estate problems are significant and pose a danger to the economy (they certainly are already decreasing economic growth) however that is much different than a crash in housing prices. And as bad as the credit markets have been and rising foreclosures, increased housing inventory the anticipated crash in prices has still not been seen nationwide – and I stand by my belief we won’t see it. Though I will admit less confidently than at any time so far – I would hedge my bet on this prediction at this point (if I actually had bet any money on that prediction – I have no desire to sell any of my 401k money invested in real estate, my rental property or my house).

  • Credit Score to Ignore Authorized User History

    Your credit score may change as FICO creators drop authorized users

    the formula for the widely used FICO credit score is about to change. Fair Isaac Corp., creator of the FICO score used by lenders, says it will no longer consider authorized user accounts when factoring a consumer’s score. An authorized user of a credit card is free to use the plastic, but doesn’t have to pay the bill. Parents often make a child an authorized user of their card to give a youngster access to credit. But this has other perks. The child inherits the parents’ credit history. And if it’s a good one, the child receives a high credit score.

    But some Internet-based credit-repair firms have been using this to boost the credit scores of strangers with poor credit. The firms pay a person with an excellent credit score to add someone with a rocky record as an authorized user on a card for a few months. The authorized user doesn’t ever use the plastic. Instead, he or she gets the benefit of the account owner’s credit history, which can raise a weak score by a couple of hundred points.
    …
    Worse for some, the change will mean no FICO score at all. Fair Isaac estimates 1.5 million to 3 million consumers will no longer have enough information in their credit report to be able to produce a FICO score. Among those most likely affected are young adults who have been added to their parents’ accounts.

    Related: Example of Mortgage Payments Depending on Credit Score – Your FICO credit score explained

  • Ignorance of Many Mortgage Holders

    Mortgage ignorance rampant

    In the survey of 1,004 adults conducted by Gfk Roper, homeowners with mortgages were asked what type of mortgage they had. A stunning 34 percent of the homeowners had no idea. “That’s a symptom of the complexity of the mortgage market today,” says Ken Wade, chief executive officer of NeighborWorks America, a nonprofit organization that provides financing and training to neighborhood-based housing organizations.

    Sorry but that is a symptom of massive ignorance. Not knowing an incredible important aspect of your largest financial decision is like not know what days you are suppose to show up for work. There is a minimum amount of knowledge people should have that sign a mortgage. I think at least 34% of mortgage holders need to read this blog. Ok, I probably alienated all of them, so if that is the case then they should read some of the blogs we list in our blogroll.

    Nationwide, 36 percent of homeowners who now have an ARM said they planned to refinance to a fixed-rate loan when their ARM changes. Only 2 percent planned to refinance into another ARM.

    There is a big problem in that logic – it could maybe make sense if you had good reason to believe rates will be lower in the future than when you took out the loan (but that is a very questionable). I don’t know why someone would think that in the last couple of years – the risks have been much better than rates would go up a few hundred basis points than down that much. Basically I can see someone that is very financially savvy using an adjustable mortgage to qualify and if they know they will move in a fairly short period…

    Related: Learning About Mortgages – Mortgage Defaults: Latest Woe for Housing – How Not to Convert Equity – 30 year fixed Mortgage Rates