Bad News on Jobs

The growth in the number of jobs in the USA continues to be bad. The growth in jobs has been very poor thus far this century. The good news has been unemployment has been fairly low, it now sits at a 4 year high of 5.7% (which is not great but not horrible by historic standards).

Update: today the labor department announced the unemployment rate increased to 6.1%.

This year the news has been worse, with actually declining numbers of jobs and some economics see No job turnaround on horizon:

Economists expect another weak job report when the government releases its August employment figures Friday. But many also are predicting job losses to continue deep into 2009 as well. USA employers have already trimmed 463,000 jobs from the payrolls during the first seven months of the year.

“I’m not expecting increases in employment until next year because in the second half of this year we’ll see very lethargic economic growth,” said Joel Prakken, chairman of Macroeconomic Advisers. The Conference Board has created a new reading called the Employment Trends Index, which combines a number of different economic readings to predict when employment will turn higher or lower. The index, which typically signals three to six months before job losses will turn to job gains, has yet to show signs of a recovery.

“We think the unemployment rate will keep growing, probably reach between 6 to 6.5% by mid 2009 and only start declining in the second half of next year,” said Gad Levanon, senior economist at The Conference Board.

Related: What Do Unemployment Stats Mean?Economic Fault: Income Inequality

Comments

3 responses to “Bad News on Jobs”

  1. There is little doubt the economy is in for serious trouble. What investment moves are wise now is less obvious…

  2. The news was even worse than the anticipated 350,000 losses. And Previous months figures were adjusted from 240,000 losses in October to 320,00 and from 284,000 in September to 403,000…

  3. “The official unemployment rate hit 7.2% in December. Factor in part-time workers who would like to work full time and discouraged people who have stopped looking for work, and the real rate is more like 13.5%…”

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